Challenger BrestChallenger 125Round of 16hard, indoorbest of three sets
Damm Jr vs Blanchet: prediction and tips
·
Our tips
Tip in 20h 27mFor matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon on match day, for earlier ones 3 hours before the order-of-play time.
Match chances
Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength.
Winner
Martin Damm Jr74%
Ugo Blanchet26%
Elo: M. Damm Jr 66% · U. Blanchet 34%
from the market (no margin)
Set score
2:0 M. Damm Jr52%
2:1 M. Damm Jr22%
2:1 U. Blanchet12%
2:0 U. Blanchet15%
First set
Martin Damm Jr68%
Ugo Blanchet32%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes34%
no66%
Total games
The bookmakers' lineUnder 23.5 · 56%market (no margin): 51%
The 23.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).
Expected total: 23.9
| Line | Over | Under | Tour over |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19.5 | 73% | 27% | 62% |
| 20.5 | 65% | 35% | 54% |
| 21.5 | 57% | 43% | 49% |
| 22.5 | 50% | 50% | 42% |
| 23.5 | 44% | 56% | 37% |
| 24.5 | 38% | 63% | 35% |
| 25.5 | 35% | 65% | 32% |
Sample: 4,057 matches
Games handicap
M. Damm Jr −3.556%
Tie-break in the match
Tie-break: yes48%
tour average 32%
Serve profile (12 months)
Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.
| M. Damm Jr | Tour | U. Blanchet | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Service points won | 68% | 62% | 65% |
| Return points won | 33% | 38% | 35% |
| Service games held | 86% | 76% | 81% |
| Breaks of serve | 17% | 24% | 19% |
| Aces per service game | 0.99 | 0.45 | |
| Double faults per game | 0.31 | 0.23 | |
| Sets with a tie-break | 27% | 21% | |
| Tie-breaks won | 23/43 | 12/26 | |
| Wins in straight sets | 78% | 60% | |
| Matches in the sample | 67 | 54 |
Form
The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.
Martin Damm Jr
- 27/10/26WSascha Gueymard Wayenburg#181Challenger Brest · R326:4 6:4
- 21/10/26LFrancisco Cerúndolo#19ATP Brussels · R164:6 6:7
- 19/10/26WYannick Hanfmann#59ATP Brussels · R327:5 6:3
- 18/10/26LAndrea Guerrieri#165ATP Brussels · Q26:7 7:6 3:6
- 17/10/26WBuvaysar Gadamauri#270ATP Brussels · Q16:1 6:4
- 05/10/26LPavel Kotov#169ATP Shanghai · Q16:7 7:6 3:6
- 28/09/26LArthur Fils#8ATP Tokyo · Q16:2 1:6 1:6
- 26/09/26LHubert Hurkacz#28ATP Chengdu · R166:4 3:6 4:6
- 24/09/26WShintaro Mochizuki#129ATP Chengdu · R326:1 6:4
- 01/09/26LFrances Tiafoe#9ATP US Open · R1284:6 6:4 6:3 3:6 4:6
Ugo Blanchet
- 27/10/26WFelix Balshaw#178Challenger Brest · R323:6 6:3 6:4
- 26/10/26WVadym Ursu#412Challenger Brest · Q27:5 6:2
- 25/10/26WSamir Hamza Reguig#708Challenger Brest · Q16:3 6:1
- 18/10/26LNicolai Budkov Kjaer#180ATP Lyon · Q16:3 1:6 3:6
- 15/10/26LJerome Kym#222Challenger Roanne · R161:6 3:6
- 13/10/26WTom Paris#683Challenger Roanne · R327:6 6:3
- 12/10/26WDaniel de Jonge#575Challenger Roanne · Q26:4 6:3
- 11/10/26WNicolas Tepmahc#638Challenger Roanne · Q16:2 6:1
- 01/10/26LClement Chidekh#134Challenger Mouilleron-le-Captif · R164:6 6:3 2:6
- 29/09/26WDurasovic#485Challenger Mouilleron-le-Captif · R326:3 6:4
Elo over the last year
Martin Damm JrUgo Blanchet
Record by surface (12 months)
Wins–losses over the last 12 months.
| M. Damm Jr | U. Blanchet | |
|---|---|---|
| Hard court | 23–1955% | 22–1954% |
| Clay | 7–654% | 3–827% |
| Grass | 7–558% | 0–20% |
Head to head
They have not met yet.
Road through the tournament
Martin Damm Jr
- 27/10/26WSascha Gueymard Wayenburg#181Challenger Brest · R326:4 6:4
Ugo Blanchet
- 25/10/26WSamir Hamza Reguig#708Challenger Brest · Q16:3 6:1
- 26/10/26WVadym Ursu#412Challenger Brest · Q27:5 6:2
- 27/10/26WFelix Balshaw#178Challenger Brest · R323:6 6:3 6:4