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Challenger BrestChallenger 125Round of 32hard, indoorbest of three sets

Balshaw vs Blanchet 1:2: result and our tips

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Felix BalshawATP #178Elo 1798hard 1780
1:2final6:3 3:6 4:6
Ugo BlanchetATP #345Elo 1676hard 1694

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
Total Games: Over 19.5Won72%

Where the number comes from: market alone 68% → with the players' profiles 72%

Over 19.5 games in recent matches: Balshaw 19 of 20, Blanchet 14 of 20 (tour average 62%)

Long shot
Total Games: Over 24.5Won41%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Over 24.5 games in recent matches: Balshaw 13 of 20, Blanchet 10 of 20 (tour average 35%)

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Felix Balshaw57%
Ugo Blanchet43%

Elo: F. Balshaw 62% · U. Blanchet 38%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 F. Balshaw37%
2:1 F. Balshaw21%
2:1 U. Blanchet17%
2:0 U. Blanchet25%

First set

Felix Balshaw56%
Ugo Blanchet44%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes38%
no62%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 23.0 · 49%market (no margin): 48%

The 23.0 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 24.0

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
19.572%28%62%
20.564%36%54%
21.558%42%49%
22.551%49%42%
23.544%56%37%
24.541%59%35%
25.538%62%32%

Sample: 5,891 matches

Games handicap

F. Balshaw −2.548%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes42%

tour average 32%

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite lost
  • Most likely set scorewas 1:2
  • Total games Under 23.0out · 28 games
  • Games handicapnot covered
  • Tie-breakno tie-break

Match stats

Felix BalshawUgo Blanchet
10Aces6
3Double faults1
69%First serves in71%
70%First-serve points won80%
48%Second-serve points won57%
1/4Break points converted2/6
12/14Service games held13/14
63%Service points won73%
27%Return points won37%
79Total points won92

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

F. BalshawTourU. Blanchet
Service points won65%62%64%
Return points won39%38%35%
Service games held81%76%81%
Breaks of serve25%24%19%
Aces per service game0.660.45
Double faults per game0.270.23
Sets with a tie-break20%21%
Tie-breaks won15/2412/26
Wins in straight sets53%63%
Matches in the sample4953

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Felix Balshaw

Ugo Blanchet

Elo over the last year

Felix BalshawUgo Blanchet

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

F. BalshawU. Blanchet
Hard court19–1163%21–1953%
Clay13–668%3–827%
Grass0–00–20%

Head to head

They have not met yet.

Road through the tournament

Felix Balshaw

First match in this tournament.

Ugo Blanchet