Moutet vs Balshaw 2:0: result and our tips
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Our tips
Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.
Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data
Over 19.5 games in recent matches: Moutet 12 of 20, Balshaw 19 of 20 (tour average 68%)
Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data
Over 23.5 games in recent matches: Moutet 6 of 20, Balshaw 14 of 20 (tour average 39%)
Match chances
Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.
Winner
Elo: C. Moutet 62% · F. Balshaw 38%
from the market (no margin)
Set score
First set
Total games
The 22.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).
Expected total: 24.2
| Line | Over | Under | Tour over |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19.5 | 74% | 26% | 68% |
| 20.5 | 67% | 33% | 60% |
| 21.5 | 61% | 39% | 54% |
| 22.5 | 52% | 48% | 46% |
| 23.5 | 45% | 55% | 40% |
| 24.5 | 44% | 56% | 38% |
| 25.5 | 39% | 61% | 35% |
Sample: 5,193 matches
Games handicap
Tie-break in the match
tour average 39%
How the forecast did
- Favouritefavourite lost
- Most likely set scorewas 2:0
- Total games Over 22.5out · 20 games
- Games handicapnot covered
- Tie-breakno tie-break
Match stats
| Corentin Moutet | Felix Balshaw | |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aces | 2 |
| 0 | Double faults | 1 |
| 75% | First serves in | 59% |
| 82% | First-serve points won | 65% |
| 69% | Second-serve points won | 54% |
| 2/6 | Break points converted | 0/1 |
| 10/10 | Service games held | 8/10 |
| 79% | Service points won | 60% |
| 40% | Return points won | 21% |
| 66 | Total points won | 49 |
Serve profile (12 months)
Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.
| C. Moutet | Tour | F. Balshaw | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Service points won | 61% | 62% | 65% |
| Return points won | 38% | 38% | 39% |
| Service games held | 74% | 76% | 81% |
| Breaks of serve | 23% | 24% | 25% |
| Aces per service game | 0.29 | 0.66 | |
| Double faults per game | 0.24 | 0.28 | |
| Sets with a tie-break | 12% | 20% | |
| Tie-breaks won | 5/11 | 15/24 | |
| Wins in straight sets | 64% | 53% | |
| Matches in the sample | 37 | 48 |
Form
The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.
Corentin Moutet
- 20/10/26WUgo Humbert#35ATP Lyon · R326:2 6:7 7:6
- 01/09/26LDane Sweeny#112ATP US Open · R1286:7 4:6 0:3
- 05/08/26LRafael Jodar#11ATP Montreal · R646:4 1:6 3:6
- 04/08/26WMarton Fucsovics#141ATP Montreal · R1286:1 6:2
- 29/07/26LJenson Brooksby#99ATP Los Cabos · R324:6 4:6
- 30/06/26LMarcos Giron#88ATP Wimbledon · R1286:4 4:6 5:7 4:6
- 22/06/26LAbdullah Shelbayh#306ATP Mallorca · R325:7 4:6
- 18/06/26LAlejandro Davidovich Fokina#13ATP London · R164:6 3:6
- 15/06/26WGiovanni Mpetshi Perricard#145ATP London · R326:7 6:4 7:6
- 09/06/26LNick Kyrgios#906ATP Stuttgart · R323:6 4:6
Felix Balshaw
- 19/10/26WJaime Faria#56ATP Lyon · R326:2 4:6 6:3
- 16/10/26LMika Brunold#195Challenger Roanne · QF3:6 6:2 3:6
- 15/10/26WMatisse Bobichon#515Challenger Roanne · R166:3 6:4
- 13/10/26WGauthier Onclin#178Challenger Roanne · R326:4 6:7 6:4
- 06/10/26LJoel Schwaerzler#173Challenger Villena · R327:6 3:6 5:7
- 02/10/26LHenry Bernet#364Challenger Mouilleron-le-Captif · QF6:3 2:6 3:6
- 01/10/26WNicolai Budkov Kjaer#187Challenger Mouilleron-le-Captif · R167:5 4:6 7:6
- 29/09/26WBilly Harris#249Challenger Mouilleron-le-Captif · R327:6 3:6 7:6
- 08/09/26LNicolai Budkov Kjaer#187Challenger Cassis · R324:6 4:6
- 06/09/26WInaki Montes-de la Torre#185Challenger Manacor · F3:6 6:2 6:3
Elo over the last year
Record by surface (12 months)
Wins–losses over the last 12 months.
| C. Moutet | F. Balshaw | |
|---|---|---|
| Hard court | 10–1245% | 19–1066% |
| Clay | 3–730% | 13–668% |
| Grass | 1–420% | 0–0 |
Head to head
They have not met yet.
Road through the tournament
Corentin Moutet
- 20/10/26WUgo Humbert#35ATP Lyon · R326:2 6:7 7:6
Felix Balshaw
- 19/10/26WJaime Faria#56ATP Lyon · R326:2 4:6 6:3