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Challenger BrestChallenger 125Round of 32hard, indoorbest of three sets

Damm Jr vs Gueymard Wayenburg 2:0: result and our tips

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Martin Damm JrATP #105Elo 1855hard 1814
2:0final6:4 6:4
Sascha Gueymard WayenburgATP #181Elo 1770hard 1775

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
Total Games: Under 27.5Won70%

Where the number comes from: market alone 73% → with the players' profiles 70%

Gueymard Wayenburg: 9 matches in a row under 27.5 games

Other tips

  • Total Sets: Under 2.5Won62%

    Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

    Gueymard Wayenburg: 6 matches in a row without a deciding set

Long shot
Total Games: Under 22.5Won46%

Where the number comes from: market alone 53% → with the players' profiles 46%

Gueymard Wayenburg: 6 matches in a row under 22.5 games

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Martin Damm Jr61%
Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg39%

Elo: M. Damm Jr 56% · S. Gueymard Wayenburg 45%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 M. Damm Jr39%
2:1 M. Damm Jr21%
2:1 S. Gueymard Wayenburg16%
2:0 S. Gueymard Wayenburg23%

First set

Martin Damm Jr58%
Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg42%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes38%
no62%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 24.5 · 59%market (no margin): 50%

The 24.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 24.2

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
19.575%25%62%
20.566%34%54%
21.559%41%49%
22.554%46%42%
23.546%54%37%
24.541%59%35%
25.539%61%32%

Sample: 5,941 matches

Games handicap

M. Damm Jr −2.551%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes46%

tour average 32%

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite won
  • Most likely set scorehit 2:0
  • Total games Under 24.5in · 20 games
  • Games handicapcovered
  • Tie-breakno tie-break

Match stats

Martin Damm JrSascha Gueymard Wayenburg
8Aces13
—Double faults—
70%First serves in68%
94%First-serve points won86%
64%Second-serve points won35%
2/5Break points converted0/0
10/10Service games held8/10
85%Service points won70%
30%Return points won15%
56Total points won44

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

M. Damm JrTourS. Gueymard Wayenburg
Service points won68%62%63%
Return points won33%38%38%
Service games held86%76%77%
Breaks of serve17%24%24%
Aces per service game0.990.61
Double faults per game0.310.28
Sets with a tie-break27%15%
Tie-breaks won23/4311/22
Wins in straight sets78%69%
Matches in the sample6765

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Martin Damm Jr

Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg

Elo over the last year

Martin Damm JrSascha Gueymard Wayenburg

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

M. Damm JrS. Gueymard Wayenburg
Hard court23–1955%24–1562%
Clay7–654%11–1542%
Grass7–558%0–0

Head to head

They have not met yet.

See also