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Challenger BrestChallenger 125Finalhard, indoorbest of three sets

Kouame vs Damm Jr 2:1: result and our tips

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Moise KouameATP #132Elo 1753hard 1743
2:1final6:4 6:7(5) 7:6(4)
Martin Damm JrATP #102Elo 1907hard 1874

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
Total Games: Under 24.5Lost59%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Kouame: 9 matches in a row under 24.5 games

Other tips

  • Total Sets: Under 2.5Lost62%

    Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

    Kouame: 9 matches in a row without a deciding set

Long shot
Tie-break in Match: YesWon45%

Where the number comes from: market alone 35% → with the players' profiles 45%

Damm Jr: 3 matches in a row with a tie-break

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Moise Kouame48%
Martin Damm Jr52%

Elo: M. Kouame 32% · M. Damm Jr 68%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 M. Kouame29%
2:1 M. Kouame19%
2:1 M. Damm Jr20%
2:0 M. Damm Jr33%

First set

Moise Kouame48%
Martin Damm Jr52%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes38%
no62%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 23.0 · 47%market (no margin): 50%

The 23.0 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 24.2

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
19.574%26%62%
20.566%34%54%
21.559%42%49%
22.553%47%42%
23.546%54%37%
24.542%59%35%
25.540%61%32%

Sample: 5,358 matches

Games handicap

M. Damm Jr −0.551%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes46%

tour average 32%

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite lost
  • Most likely set scorewas 2:1
  • Total games Under 23.0out · 36 games
  • Games handicapnot covered
  • Tie-breaktie-break played

Match stats

Moise KouameMartin Damm Jr
9Aces23
5Double faults4
67%First serves in68%
82%First-serve points won77%
66%Second-serve points won52%
2/3Break points converted1/1
16/17Service games held15/17
77%Service points won69%
31%Return points won24%
107Total points won94

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

M. KouameTourM. Damm Jr
Service points won61%62%68%
Return points won39%38%33%
Service games held77%76%86%
Breaks of serve24%24%16%
Aces per service game0.411.00
Double faults per game0.400.30
Sets with a tie-break11%29%
Tie-breaks won5/1126/46
Wins in straight sets67%79%
Matches in the sample4368

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Moise Kouame

Martin Damm Jr

Elo over the last year

Moise KouameMartin Damm Jr

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

M. KouameM. Damm Jr
Hard court19–1556%24–1956%
Clay2–722%7–654%
Grass0–07–558%

Head to head

They have not met yet.

Road through the tournament

Moise Kouame

Martin Damm Jr

Upcoming matches

See also