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Challenger BrestChallenger 125Semifinalhard, indoorbest of three sets

Kouame vs Virtanen 2:0: result and our tips

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Moise KouameATP #132Elo 1719hard 1708
2:0final6:1 6:2
Otto VirtanenATP #116Elo 1825hard 1804

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
Total Games: Over 19.5Lost71%

Where the number comes from: market alone 67% → with the players' profiles 71%

Virtanen: 11 matches in a row over 19.5 games

Other tips

  • Total Sets: Under 2.5Won62%

    Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

    Kouame: 8 matches in a row without a deciding set; No third set in recent matches: Kouame 16 of 20, Virtanen 15 of 20 (tour average 66%)

Long shot
Tie-break in Match: YesLost40%

Where the number comes from: market alone 35% → with the players' profiles 40%

Virtanen: 3 matches in a row with a tie-break

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Moise Kouame41%
Otto Virtanen59%

Elo: M. Kouame 37% · O. Virtanen 64%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 M. Kouame24%
2:1 M. Kouame17%
2:1 O. Virtanen21%
2:0 O. Virtanen38%

First set

Moise Kouame43%
Otto Virtanen57%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes38%
no62%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 23.0 · 50%market (no margin): 49%

The 23.0 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 23.8

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
19.571%29%62%
20.563%37%54%
21.557%43%49%
22.550%50%42%
23.544%56%37%
24.540%60%35%
25.537%63%32%

Sample: 6,009 matches

Games handicap

O. Virtanen −2.549%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes40%

tour average 32%

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite lost
  • Most likely set scorewas 2:0
  • Total games Under 23.0in · 15 games
  • Games handicapnot covered
  • Tie-breakno tie-break

Match stats

Moise KouameOtto Virtanen
4Aces3
3Double faults2
59%First serves in55%
72%First-serve points won55%
70%Second-serve points won39%
4/6Break points converted0/3
8/8Service games held3/7
71%Service points won48%
53%Return points won29%
56Total points won33

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

M. KouameTourO. Virtanen
Service points won61%62%66%
Return points won38%38%36%
Service games held76%76%84%
Breaks of serve24%24%20%
Aces per service game0.410.83
Double faults per game0.400.27
Sets with a tie-break11%27%
Tie-breaks won5/1122/44
Wins in straight sets65%68%
Matches in the sample4264

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Moise Kouame

Otto Virtanen

Elo over the last year

Moise KouameOtto Virtanen

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

M. KouameO. Virtanen
Hard court18–1555%19–1261%
Clay2–722%7–1041%
Grass0–011–473%

Head to head

They have not met yet.

Road through the tournament

Moise Kouame

Otto Virtanen

See also