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Challenger BrestChallenger 125Round of 16hard, indoorbest of three sets

Gaston vs Kouame 0:1: result and our tips

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Hugo GastonATP #109Elo 1831hard 1812
0:1retired5:7 1:2
Moise KouameATP #132Elo 1696hard 1681

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
Total Games: Under 23.559%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Kouame: 7 matches in a row under 23.5 games

Other tips

  • Total Sets: Under 2.562%

    Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

    Kouame: 7 matches in a row without a deciding set

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Hugo Gaston53%
Moise Kouame47%

Elo: H. Gaston 68% · M. Kouame 32%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 H. Gaston34%
2:1 H. Gaston20%
2:1 M. Kouame18%
2:0 M. Kouame28%

First set

Hugo Gaston53%
Moise Kouame47%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes38%
no62%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 22.0 · 48%market (no margin): 48%

The 22.0 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 23.1

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
18.573%27%71%
19.565%35%62%
20.558%42%54%
21.552%48%49%
22.545%55%42%
23.541%59%37%
24.539%61%35%

Sample: 5,425 matches

Games handicap

H. Gaston −1.549%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes32%

tour average 32%

Match stats

Hugo GastonMoise Kouame
3Aces3
2Double faults0
63%First serves in71%
45%First-serve points won68%
59%Second-serve points won33%
2/8Break points converted4/5
4/8Service games held5/7
50%Service points won58%
42%Return points won50%
45Total points won53

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

H. GastonTourM. Kouame
Service points won60%62%61%
Return points won40%38%38%
Service games held73%76%76%
Breaks of serve28%24%24%
Aces per service game0.250.41
Double faults per game0.190.41
Sets with a tie-break12%12%
Tie-breaks won9/185/11
Wins in straight sets54%67%
Matches in the sample6540

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Hugo Gaston

Moise Kouame

Elo over the last year

Hugo GastonMoise Kouame

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

H. GastonM. Kouame
Hard court20–1656%16–1552%
Clay12–1250%2–722%
Grass3–260%0–0

Head to head

H. Gaston 1–0 M. Kouame

  • 06/03/26Winner: H. Gaston3:6 6:3 6:4

Road through the tournament

Hugo Gaston

Moise Kouame

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