Challenger BrestChallenger 125Round of 32hard, indoorbest of three sets
Gaston vs Glinka: prediction and tips
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Our tips
Tip in 1h 27mFor matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon on match day, for earlier ones 3 hours before the order-of-play time.
Match chances
Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength.
Winner
Hugo Gaston66%
Daniil Glinka35%
Elo: H. Gaston 59% · D. Glinka 41%
from the market (no margin)
Set score
2:0 H. Gaston43%
2:1 H. Gaston22%
2:1 D. Glinka15%
2:0 D. Glinka20%
First set
Hugo Gaston61%
Daniil Glinka39%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes37%
no63%
Total games
The bookmakers' lineUnder 22.5 · 54%market (no margin): 52%
The 22.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).
Expected total: 23.1
| Line | Over | Under | Tour over |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18.5 | 73% | 27% | 71% |
| 19.5 | 65% | 35% | 62% |
| 20.5 | 58% | 42% | 54% |
| 21.5 | 52% | 48% | 49% |
| 22.5 | 46% | 54% | 42% |
| 23.5 | 40% | 60% | 37% |
| 24.5 | 38% | 62% | 35% |
Sample: 5,510 matches
Games handicap
H. Gaston −3.547%
Tie-break in the match
Tie-break: yes33%
tour average 32%
Serve profile (12 months)
Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.
| H. Gaston | Tour | D. Glinka | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Service points won | 60% | 62% | 63% |
| Return points won | 40% | 38% | 38% |
| Service games held | 73% | 76% | 79% |
| Breaks of serve | 28% | 24% | 23% |
| Aces per service game | 0.25 | 0.54 | |
| Double faults per game | 0.20 | 0.26 | |
| Sets with a tie-break | 10% | 14% | |
| Tie-breaks won | 8/16 | 19/25 | |
| Wins in straight sets | 56% | 64% | |
| Matches in the sample | 64 | 78 |
Form
The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.
Hugo Gaston
- 20/10/26LJacob Fearnley#86ATP Brussels · R323:6 0:6
- 16/10/26LNicolai Budkov Kjaer#180Challenger Roanne · QF1:6 6:7
- 14/10/26WPierre-Hugues Herbert#249Challenger Roanne · R163:6 6:3 6:4
- 12/10/26WDaniel Jade#606Challenger Roanne · R326:1 6:1
- 05/10/26LLiam Draxl#194ATP Shanghai · Q15:7 4:6
- 27/09/26LAndrey Rublev#22ATP Hangzhou · QF7:6 6:7 1:6
- 25/09/26WJaime Faria#57ATP Hangzhou · R164:6 7:6 6:4
- 24/09/26WSho Shimabukuro#106ATP Hangzhou · R326:4 6:4
- 30/08/26LDaniil Medvedev#5ATP US Open · R1284:6 2:6 4:6
- 28/08/26WColton Smith#218ATP US Open · Q31:6 6:4 6:2
Daniil Glinka
- 17/10/26LAlexander Shevchenko#109ATP Almaty · Q13:6 7:6 5:7
- 11/10/26LLaslo Djere#136Challenger Villena · F4:6 4:6
- 10/10/26WJack Pinnington Jones#188Challenger Villena · SF3:6 7:6 6:2
- 09/10/26WAbdullah Shelbayh#308Challenger Villena · QF7:6 4:6 6:3
- 08/10/26WMoez Echargui#350Challenger Villena · R166:2 6:1
- 06/10/26WGauthier Onclin#173Challenger Villena · R324:6 6:2 6:3
- 30/09/26LHenry Bernet#361Challenger Mouilleron-le-Captif · R324:6 4:6
- 25/09/26LDino Prizmic#93Challenger Saint Tropez · QF6:7 5:7
- 23/09/26WUgo Blanchet#345Challenger Saint Tropez · R166:4 3:6 6:4
- 22/09/26WDaniel Jade#606Challenger Saint Tropez · R326:3 7:5
Elo over the last year
Hugo GastonDaniil Glinka
Record by surface (12 months)
Wins–losses over the last 12 months.
| H. Gaston | D. Glinka | |
|---|---|---|
| Hard court | 19–1654% | 37–2263% |
| Clay | 12–1250% | 8–753% |
| Grass | 3–260% | 0–40% |
Head to head
H. Gaston 1–0 D. Glinka
- 03/03/26Winner: H. Gaston6:3 4:2