Molcan vs Fritz: prediction and tips
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Our tips
Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.
Where the number comes from: market alone 65% → with the players' profiles 57%
No tie-break in recent matches: Molcan 17 of 20, Fritz 14 of 20 (tour average 62%)
Other tips
- 1st Set Winner: Fritz74%
Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data
Molcan lost the first set in 9 of the last 20 matches, Fritz won the first set in 15 of the last 20 matches (tour average 50%)
Match chances
Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength.
Winner
Elo: A. Molcan 26% · T. Fritz 74%
from the market (no margin)
Set score
First set
Total games
The 22.0 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).
Expected total: 23.5
| Line | Over | Under | Tour over |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18.5 | 78% | 22% | 76% |
| 19.5 | 70% | 30% | 68% |
| 20.5 | 61% | 39% | 59% |
| 21.5 | 53% | 47% | 54% |
| 22.5 | 46% | 54% | 46% |
| 23.5 | 39% | 61% | 39% |
| 24.5 | 35% | 65% | 38% |
Sample: 2,932 matches
Games handicap
Tie-break in the match
tour average 38%
Serve profile (12 months)
Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.
| A. Molcan | Tour | T. Fritz | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Service points won | 64% | 62% | 70% |
| Return points won | 40% | 38% | 35% |
| Service games held | 79% | 76% | 89% |
| Breaks of serve | 27% | 24% | 17% |
| Aces per service game | 0.33 | 1.01 | |
| Double faults per game | 0.14 | 0.13 | |
| Sets with a tie-break | 10% | 22% | |
| Tie-breaks won | 9/13 | 22/34 | |
| Wins in straight sets | 61% | 61% | |
| Matches in the sample | 55 | 60 |
Form
The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.
Alex Molcan
- 02/11/26WTitouan Droguet#79ATP Paris · R644:6 6:4 6:4
- 01/11/26WNuno Borges#49ATP Paris · Q27:6 6:2
- 31/10/26WDaniel Altmaier#63ATP Paris · Q16:4 7:6
- 25/10/26LAdrian Mannarino#59ATP Vienna · Q25:7 2:6
- 24/10/26WHamad Medjedovic#77ATP Vienna · Q16:2 6:4
- 07/10/26WFederico Cina#136ATP Shanghai · R1284:6 6:1 6:2
- 02/10/26LKaren Khachanov#25ATP Beijing · R165:7 3:6
- 01/10/26WTomáš Macháč#69ATP Beijing · R326:3 6:2
- 29/09/26WMarco Trungelliti#91ATP Beijing · Q26:4 7:5
- 28/09/26WVit Kopriva#62ATP Beijing · Q17:6 2:6 7:6
Taylor Fritz
- 03/11/26WBenjamin Bonzi#95ATP Paris · R643:6 6:3 6:4
- 31/10/26LValentin Vacherot#27ATP Basel · SF6:7 3:6
- 30/10/26WArthur Fils#7ATP Basel · QF6:2 2:0
- 29/10/26WDenis Shapovalov#51ATP Basel · R166:4 6:3
- 28/10/26WRinky Hijikata#83ATP Basel · R326:4 7:6
- 25/10/26LLorenzo Musetti#24ATP Lyon · F3:6 4:6
- 24/10/26WTommy Paul#14ATP Lyon · SF6:3 7:5
- 23/10/26WDaniel Altmaier#63ATP Lyon · QF7:6 6:2
- 22/10/26WPierre-Hugues Herbert#249ATP Lyon · R166:2 7:5
- 12/10/26LStefanos Tsitsipas#34ATP Shanghai · R326:3 5:7 3:6
Elo over the last year
Record by surface (12 months)
Wins–losses over the last 12 months.
| A. Molcan | T. Fritz | |
|---|---|---|
| Hard court | 10–759% | 30–1468% |
| Clay | 23–1070% | 0–20% |
| Grass | 3–260% | 11–379% |
Head to head
A. Molcan 0–1 T. Fritz
- 02/07/22Winner: T. Fritz4:6 1:6 6:7
Road through the tournament
Alex Molcan
- 31/10/26WDaniel Altmaier#63ATP Paris · Q16:4 7:6
- 01/11/26WNuno Borges#49ATP Paris · Q27:6 6:2
- 02/11/26WTitouan Droguet#79ATP Paris · R644:6 6:4 6:4
Taylor Fritz
- 03/11/26WBenjamin Bonzi#95ATP Paris · R643:6 6:3 6:4