Molcan vs Droguet 2:1: result and our tips
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Our tips
Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.
Where the number comes from: market alone 66% → with the players' profiles 68%
Droguet: 16 matches in a row over 20.5 games; Over 20.5 games in recent matches: Molcan 12 of 20, Droguet 18 of 20 (tour average 60%)
Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data
A third set in recent matches: Molcan 7 of 20, Droguet 12 of 20 (tour average 36%)
Match chances
Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.
Winner
Elo: A. Molcan 45% · T. Droguet 55%
from the market (no margin)
Set score
First set
Total games
The 23.0 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).
Expected total: 24.4
| Line | Over | Under | Tour over |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20.5 | 67% | 33% | 60% |
| 21.5 | 62% | 38% | 54% |
| 22.5 | 54% | 46% | 46% |
| 23.5 | 47% | 53% | 40% |
| 24.5 | 44% | 56% | 38% |
| 25.5 | 41% | 59% | 35% |
| 26.5 | 35% | 65% | 30% |
Sample: 5,631 matches
Games handicap
Tie-break in the match
tour average 39%
How the forecast did
- Favouritefavourite won
- Most likely set scorewas 2:1
- Total games Over 23.0in · 30 games
- Games handicapcovered
- Tie-breakno tie-break
Match stats
| Alex Molcan | Titouan Droguet | |
|---|---|---|
| 2 | Aces | 20 |
| 0 | Double faults | 2 |
| 75% | First serves in | 66% |
| 68% | First-serve points won | 70% |
| 60% | Second-serve points won | 47% |
| 3/8 | Break points converted | 2/4 |
| 13/15 | Service games held | 12/15 |
| 66% | Service points won | 62% |
| 38% | Return points won | 34% |
| 103 | Total points won | 96 |
Serve profile (12 months)
Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.
| A. Molcan | Tour | T. Droguet | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Service points won | 64% | 62% | 65% |
| Return points won | 40% | 38% | 37% |
| Service games held | 79% | 76% | 82% |
| Breaks of serve | 27% | 24% | 23% |
| Aces per service game | 0.34 | 0.66 | |
| Double faults per game | 0.15 | 0.19 | |
| Sets with a tie-break | 10% | 22% | |
| Tie-breaks won | 9/13 | 26/42 | |
| Wins in straight sets | 63% | 52% | |
| Matches in the sample | 54 | 75 |
Form
The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.
Alex Molcan
- 01/11/26WNuno Borges#49ATP Paris · Q27:6 6:2
- 31/10/26WDaniel Altmaier#63ATP Paris · Q16:4 7:6
- 25/10/26LAdrian Mannarino#59ATP Vienna · Q25:7 2:6
- 24/10/26WHamad Medjedovic#77ATP Vienna · Q16:2 6:4
- 07/10/26WFederico Cina#136ATP Shanghai · R1284:6 6:1 6:2
- 02/10/26LKaren Khachanov#25ATP Beijing · R165:7 3:6
- 01/10/26WTomáš Macháč#69ATP Beijing · R326:3 6:2
- 29/09/26WMarco Trungelliti#91ATP Beijing · Q26:4 7:5
- 28/09/26WVit Kopriva#62ATP Beijing · Q17:6 2:6 7:6
- 08/09/26LJoao Lucas Reis Da Silva#177Challenger Tulln · R321:6 4:6
Titouan Droguet
- 25/10/26LLukas Neumayer#155ATP Vienna · Q26:7 3:6
- 24/10/26WJoel Schwaerzler#172ATP Vienna · Q16:3 3:6 7:5
- 20/10/26LDaniel Altmaier#63ATP Lyon · R327:5 6:7 6:7
- 27/09/26WHarold Mayot#220Challenger Saint Tropez · F6:3 7:5
- 26/09/26WDino Prizmic#92Challenger Saint Tropez · SF6:3 5:7 6:2
- 25/09/26WMark Lajal#167Challenger Saint Tropez · QF6:4 7:6
- 23/09/26WBorna Gojo#133Challenger Saint Tropez · R163:6 6:3 6:4
- 22/09/26WKarl Poling#453Challenger Saint Tropez · R326:7 6:4 7:6
- 19/09/26LSascha Gueymard Wayenburg#187Challenger Rennes · SF6:4 6:7 3:6
- 18/09/26WBorna Gojo#133Challenger Rennes · QF6:2 3:6 6:3
Elo over the last year
Record by surface (12 months)
Wins–losses over the last 12 months.
| A. Molcan | T. Droguet | |
|---|---|---|
| Hard court | 9–756% | 32–1470% |
| Clay | 23–1070% | 15–963% |
| Grass | 3–260% | 3–260% |
Head to head
A. Molcan 0–1 T. Droguet
- 29/10/25Winner: T. Droguet3:6 5:7
Road through the tournament
Alex Molcan
- 31/10/26WDaniel Altmaier#63ATP Paris · Q16:4 7:6
- 01/11/26WNuno Borges#49ATP Paris · Q27:6 6:2
Titouan Droguet
First match in this tournament.