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ATP ParisMasters 1000Qualifying round 1hard, indoorbest of three setsqualifying

Molcan vs Altmaier 2:0: result and our tips

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Alex MolcanATP #78Elo 1921hard 1850
2:0final6:4 7:6(1)
Daniel AltmaierATP #63Elo 1903hard 1846

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
Tie-break in Match: NoLost55%

Where the number comes from: market alone 58% → with the players' profiles 55%

Molcan: 6 matches in a row without a tie-break

Other tips

  • Total Games: Over 20.5Won67%

    Where the number comes from: market alone 65% → with the players' profiles 67%

    Altmaier: 5 matches in a row over 20.5 games

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Alex Molcan56%
Daniel Altmaier44%

Elo: A. Molcan 51% · D. Altmaier 49%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 A. Molcan35%
2:1 A. Molcan21%
2:1 D. Altmaier20%
2:0 D. Altmaier25%

First set

Alex Molcan54%
Daniel Altmaier46%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes40%
no60%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineOver 23.0 · 47%market (no margin): 50%

The 23.0 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 24.4

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
20.567%33%60%
21.561%39%54%
22.554%46%46%
23.547%53%40%
24.544%56%38%
25.541%59%35%
26.535%65%30%

Sample: 5,783 matches

Games handicap

A. Molcan −1.551%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes45%

tour average 39%

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite won
  • Most likely set scorehit 2:0
  • Total games Over 23.0out · 23 games
  • Games handicapcovered
  • Tie-breaktie-break played

Match stats

Alex MolcanDaniel Altmaier
3Aces10
0Double faults3
68%First serves in68%
77%First-serve points won67%
76%Second-serve points won56%
1/5Break points converted0/0
11/11Service games held10/11
77%Service points won63%
37%Return points won23%
79Total points won65

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

A. MolcanTourD. Altmaier
Service points won63%62%63%
Return points won40%38%35%
Service games held78%76%78%
Breaks of serve27%24%18%
Aces per service game0.340.59
Double faults per game0.150.23
Sets with a tie-break10%20%
Tie-breaks won7/1313/29
Wins in straight sets59%52%
Matches in the sample5460

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Alex Molcan

Daniel Altmaier

Elo over the last year

Alex MolcanDaniel Altmaier

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

A. MolcanD. Altmaier
Hard court8–850%10–1638%
Clay23–1070%13–1350%
Grass3–260%4–450%

Head to head

A. Molcan 3–0 D. Altmaier

  • 22/07/26Winner: A. Molcan6:3 3:6 7:5
  • 30/06/26Winner: A. Molcan6:4 3:6 7:5 6:2
  • 16/04/26Winner: A. Molcan6:4 7:6