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ATP Basel500Quarterfinalhard, indoorbest of three setsqualifying

Fritz vs Fils 1:0: result and our tips

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Taylor FritzATP #12Elo 2139hard 2099
1:0retired6:2 2:0
Arthur FilsATP #7Elo 2192hard 2142

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
Total Sets: Under 2.560%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Fritz: 6 matches in a row without a deciding set

Other tips

  • Total Games: Over 22.561%

    Where the number comes from: market alone 52% → with the players' profiles 61%

    Fils: 4 matches in a row over 22.5 games

  • Tie-break in Match: Yes56%

    Where the number comes from: market alone 43% → with the players' profiles 56%

    Fils: 4 matches in a row with a tie-break

Long shot
Total Games: Over 24.546%

Where the number comes from: market alone 44% → with the players' profiles 46%

Fils: 3 matches in a row over 24.5 games

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Taylor Fritz49%
Arthur Fils51%

Elo: T. Fritz 44% · A. Fils 56%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 T. Fritz30%
2:1 T. Fritz20%
2:1 A. Fils20%
2:0 A. Fils31%

First set

Taylor Fritz50%
Arthur Fils51%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes40%
no60%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 25.5 · 56%market (no margin): 51%

The 25.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 25.3

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
20.575%25%60%
21.567%33%54%
22.561%39%46%
23.553%47%40%
24.546%54%38%
25.544%56%35%
26.540%60%30%

Sample: 5,272 matches

Games handicap

A. Fils −0.549%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes56%

tour average 39%

Match stats

Taylor FritzArthur Fils
9Aces0
0Double faults1
68%First serves in50%
82%First-serve points won35%
63%Second-serve points won47%
4/8Break points converted1/2
4/5Service games held1/5
76%Service points won41%
59%Return points won24%
39Total points won20

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

T. FritzTourA. Fils
Service points won70%62%68%
Return points won35%38%37%
Service games held89%76%86%
Breaks of serve16%24%23%
Aces per service game1.000.50
Double faults per game0.140.19
Sets with a tie-break22%22%
Tie-breaks won22/3417/28
Wins in straight sets64%65%
Matches in the sample5854

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Taylor Fritz

Arthur Fils

Elo over the last year

Taylor FritzArthur Fils

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

T. FritzA. Fils
Hard court28–1368%30–1173%
Clay0–20%9–282%
Grass11–379%1–150%

Head to head

T. Fritz 0–1 A. Fils

  • 26/09/24Winner: A. Fils4:6 6:3 3:6

Road through the tournament

Taylor Fritz

Arthur Fils