Fritz vs Hijikata: prediction and tips
·
Our tips
Tip in 1h 27mFor matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon on match day, for earlier ones 3 hours before the order-of-play time.
Match chances
Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength.
Winner
Elo: T. Fritz 80% · R. Hijikata 21%
from the market (no margin)
Set score
First set
Total games
The 22.0 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).
Expected total: 22.2
| Line | Over | Under | Tour over |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17.5 | 81% | 19% | 83% |
| 18.5 | 72% | 28% | 75% |
| 19.5 | 62% | 38% | 67% |
| 20.5 | 52% | 48% | 59% |
| 21.5 | 44% | 56% | 53% |
| 22.5 | 37% | 63% | 45% |
| 23.5 | 30% | 70% | 39% |
Sample: 1,700 matches
Games handicap
Tie-break in the match
tour average 37%
Serve profile (12 months)
Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.
| T. Fritz | Tour | R. Hijikata | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Service points won | 70% | 62% | 63% |
| Return points won | 35% | 38% | 37% |
| Service games held | 89% | 76% | 78% |
| Breaks of serve | 16% | 24% | 23% |
| Aces per service game | 1.00 | 0.38 | |
| Double faults per game | 0.14 | 0.22 | |
| Sets with a tie-break | 23% | 20% | |
| Tie-breaks won | 22/34 | 23/38 | |
| Wins in straight sets | 63% | 56% | |
| Matches in the sample | 57 | 76 |
Form
The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.
Taylor Fritz
- 25/10/26LLorenzo Musetti#26ATP Lyon · F3:6 4:6
- 24/10/26WTommy Paul#14ATP Lyon · SF6:3 7:5
- 23/10/26WDaniel Altmaier#60ATP Lyon · QF7:6 6:2
- 22/10/26WPierre-Hugues Herbert#249ATP Lyon · R166:2 7:5
- 12/10/26LStefanos Tsitsipas#33ATP Shanghai · R326:3 5:7 3:6
- 10/10/26WMatteo Arnaldi#36ATP Shanghai · R647:5 6:4
- 01/10/26LJaume Munar#65ATP Tokyo · R327:6 4:6 3:6
- 05/09/26LFrancisco Cerúndolo#19ATP US Open · R326:3 6:4 3:6 4:6 4:6
- 03/09/26WMattia Bellucci#66ATP US Open · R646:0 6:1 6:1
- 01/09/26WDarwin Blanch#144ATP US Open · R1286:3 6:2 6:4
Rinky Hijikata
- 25/10/26LYannick Hanfmann#59ATP Basel · Q24:6 6:1 3:6
- 24/10/26WMiomir Kecmanovic#58ATP Basel · Q17:6 6:3
- 20/10/26LTerence Atmane#90ATP Almaty · R326:7 2:6
- 07/10/26LRoman Safiullin#69ATP Shanghai · R1285:7 3:6
- 29/09/26LStefanos Tsitsipas#33ATP Tokyo · Q24:6 3:6
- 28/09/26WCamilo Ugo Carabelli#75ATP Tokyo · Q16:2 6:3
- 25/09/26LAndrey Rublev#22ATP Hangzhou · R163:6 3:6
- 24/09/26WDalibor Svrcina#120ATP Hangzhou · R327:6 6:4
- 31/08/26LFelix Auger-Aliassime#7ATP US Open · R1285:7 6:4 3:6 5:7
- 26/08/26LBenjamin Bonzi#99ATP Winston Salem · R161:6 1:6
Elo over the last year
Record by surface (12 months)
Wins–losses over the last 12 months.
| T. Fritz | R. Hijikata | |
|---|---|---|
| Hard court | 27–1466% | 30–2258% |
| Clay | 0–20% | 6–746% |
| Grass | 11–379% | 7–464% |
Head to head
T. Fritz 1–0 R. Hijikata
- 17/02/24Winner: T. Fritz6:3 6:3
Road through the tournament
Taylor Fritz
First match in this tournament.
Rinky Hijikata
- 24/10/26WMiomir Kecmanovic#58ATP Basel · Q17:6 6:3
- 25/10/26LYannick Hanfmann#59ATP Basel · Q24:6 6:1 3:6