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ATP Basel500Qualifying round 1hard, indoorbest of three setsqualifying

Kecmanovic vs Hijikata 0:2: result and our tips

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Miomir KecmanovicATP #58Elo 1835hard 1790
0:2final6:7(5) 3:6
Rinky HijikataATP #85Elo 1887hard 1853

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
Total Games: Under 24.5Won57%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Hijikata: 7 matches in a row under 24.5 games

Other tips

  • Total Sets: Under 2.5Won60%

    Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

    Hijikata: 7 matches in a row without a deciding set

Long shot
Total Games: Under 21.5Lost39%

Where the number comes from: market alone 41% → with the players' profiles 39%

Hijikata: 5 matches in a row under 21.5 games

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Miomir Kecmanovic60%
Rinky Hijikata40%

Elo: M. Kecmanovic 41% · R. Hijikata 59%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 M. Kecmanovic37%
2:1 M. Kecmanovic21%
2:1 R. Hijikata19%
2:0 R. Hijikata23%

First set

Miomir Kecmanovic57%
Rinky Hijikata44%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes40%
no60%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 23.0 · 47%market (no margin): 51%

The 23.0 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 24.3

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
19.575%25%68%
20.566%34%60%
21.561%39%54%
22.553%47%46%
23.546%54%40%
24.543%57%38%
25.540%60%35%

Sample: 5,913 matches

Games handicap

M. Kecmanovic −2.548%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes44%

tour average 39%

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite lost
  • Most likely set scorewas 0:2
  • Total games Under 23.0in · 22 games
  • Games handicapnot covered
  • Tie-breaktie-break played

Match stats

Miomir KecmanovicRinky Hijikata
6Aces8
0Double faults3
67%First serves in54%
65%First-serve points won84%
60%Second-serve points won55%
0/1Break points converted2/4
9/11Service games held10/10
63%Service points won71%
29%Return points won37%
68Total points won76

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

M. KecmanovicTourR. Hijikata
Service points won64%62%62%
Return points won36%38%37%
Service games held79%76%78%
Breaks of serve21%24%22%
Aces per service game0.380.38
Double faults per game0.190.21
Sets with a tie-break17%20%
Tie-breaks won14/2622/37
Wins in straight sets56%55%
Matches in the sample5675

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Miomir Kecmanovic

Rinky Hijikata

Elo over the last year

Miomir KecmanovicRinky Hijikata

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

M. KecmanovicR. Hijikata
Hard court15–2142%29–2257%
Clay8–753%6–746%
Grass2–340%7–464%

Head to head

M. Kecmanovic 1–1 R. Hijikata

  • 03/10/24Winner: M. Kecmanovic6:2 6:2
  • 20/02/24Winner: R. Hijikata3:6 6:7

See also