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ATP Lyon250Quarterfinalhard, indoorbest of three setsqualifying

Altmaier vs Fritz 0:2: result and our tips

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Daniel AltmaierATP #60Elo 1906hard 1848
0:2final6:7(5) 2:6
Taylor FritzATP #13Elo 2125hard 2084

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
1st Set Winner: FritzWon74%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Altmaier lost the first set in 14 of the last 20 matches, Fritz won the first set in 17 of the last 20 matches (tour average 50%); Fritz: 7 matches in a row winning the first set

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Daniel Altmaier19%
Taylor Fritz81%

Elo: D. Altmaier 21% · T. Fritz 80%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 D. Altmaier11%
2:1 D. Altmaier10%
2:1 T. Fritz21%
2:0 T. Fritz59%

First set

Daniel Altmaier26%
Taylor Fritz74%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes31%
no69%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineOver 22.0 · 48%market (no margin): 49%

The 22.0 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 23.7

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
19.572%28%67%
20.563%38%59%
21.554%46%54%
22.548%52%45%
23.540%60%39%
24.535%65%38%
25.533%67%34%

Sample: 2,848 matches

Games handicap

T. Fritz −4.548%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes46%

tour average 38%

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite won
  • Most likely set scorehit 0:2
  • Total games Over 22.0out · 21 games
  • Games handicapcovered
  • Tie-breaktie-break played

Match stats

Daniel AltmaierTaylor Fritz
7Aces5
1Double faults0
61%First serves in76%
65%First-serve points won88%
63%Second-serve points won69%
0/0Break points converted2/6
8/10Service games held10/10
64%Service points won84%
16%Return points won36%
54Total points won71

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

D. AltmaierTourT. Fritz
Service points won63%62%70%
Return points won35%38%35%
Service games held77%76%89%
Breaks of serve19%24%16%
Aces per service game0.581.00
Double faults per game0.240.15
Sets with a tie-break18%22%
Tie-breaks won12/2521/33
Wins in straight sets56%61%
Matches in the sample5855

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Daniel Altmaier

Taylor Fritz

Elo over the last year

Daniel AltmaierTaylor Fritz

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

D. AltmaierT. Fritz
Hard court10–1442%25–1464%
Clay13–1350%0–20%
Grass4–450%11–379%

Head to head

D. Altmaier 1–0 T. Fritz

  • 26/05/25Winner: D. Altmaier7:5 3:6 6:3 6:1

Road through the tournament

Daniel Altmaier

Taylor Fritz