Skip to content
ATP Basel500Semifinalhard, indoorbest of three sets

Vacherot vs Fritz 2:0: result and our tips

·

Valentin VacherotATP #27Elo 2049hard 2017
2:0final7:6(5) 6:3
Taylor FritzATP #12Elo 2139hard 2099

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
1st Set Winner: FritzLost70%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Vacherot lost the first set in 9 of the last 20 matches, Fritz won the first set in 17 of the last 20 matches (tour average 50%)

Other tips

  • Total Games: Under 24.5Won59%

    Where the number comes from: market alone 62% → with the players' profiles 59%

    Fritz: 6 matches in a row under 24.5 games

Long shot
1st Set Winner: VacherotWon30%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Vacherot: 4 matches in a row winning the first set

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Valentin Vacherot25%
Taylor Fritz75%

Elo: V. Vacherot 38% · T. Fritz 62%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 V. Vacherot13%
2:1 V. Vacherot13%
2:1 T. Fritz22%
2:0 T. Fritz52%

First set

Valentin Vacherot30%
Taylor Fritz70%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes35%
no65%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineOver 23.0 · 47%market (no margin): 52%

The 23.0 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 24.6

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
20.569%31%60%
21.561%39%54%
22.555%45%46%
23.547%53%40%
24.541%59%38%
25.538%62%35%
26.535%65%30%

Sample: 3,864 matches

Games handicap

T. Fritz −3.554%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes53%

tour average 39%

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite lost
  • Most likely set scorewas 2:0
  • Total games Over 23.0out · 22 games
  • Games handicapnot covered
  • Tie-breaktie-break played

Match stats

Valentin VacherotTaylor Fritz
10Aces11
2Double faults1
74%First serves in64%
78%First-serve points won81%
50%Second-serve points won48%
2/4Break points converted1/3
10/11Service games held8/10
71%Service points won69%
31%Return points won29%
67Total points won60

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

V. VacherotTourT. Fritz
Service points won67%62%70%
Return points won34%38%35%
Service games held84%76%89%
Breaks of serve17%24%17%
Aces per service game0.771.00
Double faults per game0.260.13
Sets with a tie-break20%22%
Tie-breaks won14/2222/33
Wins in straight sets48%63%
Matches in the sample4158

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Valentin Vacherot

Taylor Fritz

Elo over the last year

Valentin VacherotTaylor Fritz

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

V. VacherotT. Fritz
Hard court17–1455%29–1369%
Clay6–460%0–20%
Grass0–011–379%

Head to head

V. Vacherot 0–1 T. Fritz

  • 22/10/25Winner: T. Fritz6:4 6:7 5:7

Road through the tournament

Valentin Vacherot

Taylor Fritz

See also