Rune vs Vacherot 1:2: result and our tips
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Our tips
No tip for this match: when the tips were published, no bet on offer had clear support in our data. We never force a tip.
Match chances
Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.
Winner
Elo: H. Rune 57% · V. Vacherot 43%
from the market (no margin)
Set score
First set
Total games
The 25.0 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).
Expected total: 24.1
| Line | Over | Under | Tour over |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19.5 | 73% | 27% | 68% |
| 20.5 | 64% | 36% | 60% |
| 21.5 | 60% | 40% | 54% |
| 22.5 | 51% | 49% | 46% |
| 23.5 | 45% | 55% | 40% |
| 24.5 | 43% | 57% | 38% |
| 25.5 | 39% | 61% | 35% |
Sample: 5,962 matches
Games handicap
Tie-break in the match
tour average 39%
How the forecast did
- Favouritefavourite lost
- Most likely set scorewas 1:2
- Total games Under 25.0out · 27 games
- Games handicapnot covered
- Tie-breakno tie-break
Match stats
| Holger Rune | Valentin Vacherot | |
|---|---|---|
| 6 | Aces | 20 |
| 2 | Double faults | 5 |
| 56% | First serves in | 74% |
| 71% | First-serve points won | 76% |
| 56% | Second-serve points won | 42% |
| 1/10 | Break points converted | 2/4 |
| 11/13 | Service games held | 13/14 |
| 65% | Service points won | 67% |
| 33% | Return points won | 35% |
| 87 | Total points won | 92 |
Serve profile (12 months)
Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.
| H. Rune | Tour | V. Vacherot | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Service points won | 65% | 62% | 67% |
| Return points won | 33% | 38% | 34% |
| Service games held | 83% | 76% | 83% |
| Breaks of serve | 15% | 24% | 17% |
| Aces per service game | 0.44 | 0.75 | |
| Double faults per game | 0.21 | 0.26 | |
| Sets with a tie-break | 36% | 21% | |
| Tie-breaks won | 2/4 | 14/22 | |
| Wins in straight sets | 0% | 50% | |
| Matches in the sample | 4 | 41 |
Form
The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.
Holger Rune
- 28/10/26WHubert Hurkacz#29ATP Basel · R163:6 6:3 7:6
- 26/10/26WQuentin Halys#46ATP Basel · R326:4 6:7 7:6
- 07/10/26LDaniel Altmaier#63ATP Shanghai · R1286:1 6:7 4:6
- 01/10/26LKyrian Jacquet#80ATP Tokyo · R323:6 1:6
- 18/10/25LUgo Humbert#38ATP Stockholm · SF6:4 2:2
- 17/10/25WTomás Martín Etcheverry#31ATP Stockholm · QF6:7 6:3 6:4
- 16/10/25WMarton Fucsovics#144ATP Stockholm · R166:4 6:4
- 09/10/25LValentin Vacherot#27ATP Shanghai · QF6:2 6:7 4:6
- 07/10/25WGiovanni Mpetshi Perricard#145ATP Shanghai · R166:4 6:7 6:3
- 05/10/25WUgo Humbert#38ATP Shanghai · R326:4 6:4
Valentin Vacherot
- 29/10/26WRafael Jodar#10ATP Basel · R167:6 2:6 7:6
- 26/10/26WMariano Navone#48ATP Basel · R326:3 7:6
- 22/10/26LLuca Van Assche#47ATP Lyon · R166:2 4:6 4:6
- 12/10/26LTommy Paul#14ATP Shanghai · R324:6 2:6
- 10/10/26WSebastián Báez#52ATP Shanghai · R646:4 7:6
- 05/10/26LJiří Lehečka#15ATP Tokyo · SF4:6 2:6
- 04/10/26WArthur Fils#7ATP Tokyo · QF7:5 4:6 6:4
- 02/10/26WStefanos Tsitsipas#34ATP Tokyo · R164:6 7:6 6:4
- 30/09/26WAlexander Blockx#28ATP Tokyo · R327:6 7:6
- 26/09/26LLloyd Harris#103ATP Chengdu · R164:6 6:7
Elo over the last year
Record by surface (12 months)
Wins–losses over the last 12 months.
| H. Rune | V. Vacherot | |
|---|---|---|
| Hard court | 2–250% | 16–1552% |
| Clay | 0–0 | 6–460% |
Head to head
H. Rune 0–1 V. Vacherot
- 09/10/25Winner: V. Vacherot6:2 6:7 4:6
Road through the tournament
Holger Rune
- 26/10/26WQuentin Halys#46ATP Basel · R326:4 6:7 7:6
- 28/10/26WHubert Hurkacz#29ATP Basel · R163:6 6:3 7:6
Valentin Vacherot
- 26/10/26WMariano Navone#48ATP Basel · R326:3 7:6
- 29/10/26WRafael Jodar#10ATP Basel · R167:6 2:6 7:6