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Challenger BrestChallenger 125Round of 16hard, indoorbest of three sets

Bobichon vs Virtanen: prediction and tips

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Matisse BobichonATP #517Elo 1714hard 1710
-:-
Otto VirtanenATP #121Elo 1805hard 1779

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
Total Games: Over 19.562%

Where the number comes from: market alone 55% → with the players' profiles 62%

Virtanen: 9 matches in a row over 19.5 games; Over 19.5 games in recent matches: Bobichon 14 of 20, Virtanen 16 of 20 (tour average 62%)

Long shot
Tie-break in Match: Yes35%

Where the number comes from: market alone 26% → with the players' profiles 35%

A tie-break in recent matches: Bobichon 8 of 20, Virtanen 10 of 20 (tour average 32%)

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength.

Winner

Matisse Bobichon16%
Otto Virtanen85%

Elo: M. Bobichon 40% · O. Virtanen 60%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 M. Bobichon8%
2:1 M. Bobichon8%
2:1 O. Virtanen20%
2:0 O. Virtanen64%

First set

Matisse Bobichon23%
Otto Virtanen77%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes28%
no73%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 22.0 · 55%market (no margin): 52%

The 22.0 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 22.4

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
17.581%19%79%
18.571%29%71%
19.562%38%62%
20.553%47%54%
21.545%55%49%
22.539%61%42%
23.533%67%37%

Sample: 2,267 matches

Games handicap

O. Virtanen −4.557%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes35%

tour average 32%

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

M. BobichonTourO. Virtanen
Service points won64%62%66%
Return points won37%38%36%
Service games held81%76%84%
Breaks of serve20%24%20%
Aces per service game0.530.82
Double faults per game0.290.28
Sets with a tie-break15%26%
Tie-breaks won5/820/42
Wins in straight sets60%67%
Matches in the sample2463

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Matisse Bobichon

Otto Virtanen

Elo over the last year

Matisse BobichonOtto Virtanen

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

M. BobichonO. Virtanen
Hard court15–963%18–1358%
Clay0–07–1041%
Grass0–011–473%

Head to head

They have not met yet.

Road through the tournament

Matisse Bobichon

Otto Virtanen