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Challenger BrestChallenger 125Round of 32hard, indoorbest of three sets

Martineau vs Virtanen 0:2: result and our tips

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Matteo MartineauATP #245Elo 1652hard 1670
0:2final6:7(4) 4:6
Otto VirtanenATP #121Elo 1797hard 1768

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
Total Games: Over 19.5Won72%

Where the number comes from: market alone 65% → with the players' profiles 72%

Over 19.5 games in recent matches: Martineau 17 of 20, Virtanen 16 of 20 (tour average 62%); Virtanen: 8 matches in a row over 19.5 games

Long shot
Total Games: Over 25.5Lost37%

Where the number comes from: market alone 34% → with the players' profiles 37%

Over 25.5 games in recent matches: Martineau 10 of 20, Virtanen 9 of 20 (tour average 32%)

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Matteo Martineau31%
Otto Virtanen69%

Elo: M. Martineau 36% · O. Virtanen 64%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 M. Martineau18%
2:1 M. Martineau14%
2:1 O. Virtanen22%
2:0 O. Virtanen46%

First set

Matteo Martineau36%
Otto Virtanen64%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes36%
no64%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 23.5 · 56%market (no margin): 52%

The 23.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 23.8

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
19.572%29%62%
20.563%37%54%
21.556%44%49%
22.551%50%42%
23.544%56%37%
24.539%61%35%
25.537%64%32%

Sample: 5,011 matches

Games handicap

O. Virtanen −3.550%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes44%

tour average 32%

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite won
  • Most likely set scorehit 0:2
  • Total games Under 23.5in · 23 games
  • Games handicapnot covered
  • Tie-breaktie-break played

Match stats

Matteo MartineauOtto Virtanen
5Aces14
—Double faults—
69%First serves in72%
76%First-serve points won84%
53%Second-serve points won59%
1/1Break points converted2/2
9/11Service games held10/11
69%Service points won77%
23%Return points won31%
56Total points won65

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

M. MartineauTourO. Virtanen
Service points won63%62%66%
Return points won36%38%36%
Service games held80%76%83%
Breaks of serve20%24%20%
Aces per service game0.520.82
Double faults per game0.320.28
Sets with a tie-break26%26%
Tie-breaks won19/3919/41
Wins in straight sets50%67%
Matches in the sample6163

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Matteo Martineau

  • 18/10/26LMika Brunold#191Challenger Roanne · F6:2 6:7 1:6
  • 17/10/26WNicolai Budkov Kjaer#180Challenger Roanne · SF7:5 7:6
  • 16/10/26WSascha Gueymard Wayenburg#181Challenger Roanne · QF6:3 6:4
  • 15/10/26WEtienne Donnet#855Challenger Roanne · R165:7 6:4 6:2
  • 13/10/26WMax Schoenhaus#311Challenger Roanne · R326:2 7:6
  • 28/09/26LClement Tabur#161Challenger Mouilleron-le-Captif · R326:7 7:6 3:6
  • 24/09/26LDaniel Masur#365Challenger Saint Tropez · R163:6 7:5 3:6
  • 22/09/26WTristan Schoolkate#141Challenger Saint Tropez · R327:6 6:7 7:6
  • 21/09/26WJustin Boulais#428Challenger Saint Tropez · Q26:3 6:1
  • 20/09/26WCesar Bouchelaghem#521Challenger Saint Tropez · Q16:1 6:4

Otto Virtanen

Elo over the last year

Matteo MartineauOtto Virtanen

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

M. MartineauO. Virtanen
Hard court22–1954%18–1358%
Clay8–1240%7–1041%
Grass0–011–473%

Head to head

M. Martineau 0–2 O. Virtanen

  • 11/10/25Winner: O. Virtanen6:7 4:6
  • 23/10/24Winner: O. Virtanen3:6 2:6

See also