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Challenger BrestChallenger 125Round of 32hard, indoorbest of three sets

Bobichon vs Geerts 2:0: result and our tips

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Matisse BobichonATP #517Elo 1691hard 1685
2:0final7:6(3) 6:3
Michael GeertsATP #353Elo 1601hard 1610

Our tips

No tip for this match: when the tips were published, no bet on offer had clear support in our data. We never force a tip.

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Matisse Bobichon44%
Michael Geerts56%

Elo: M. Bobichon 61% · M. Geerts 39%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 M. Bobichon26%
2:1 M. Bobichon17%
2:1 M. Geerts21%
2:0 M. Geerts36%

First set

Matisse Bobichon45%
Michael Geerts55%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes38%
no62%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 23.0 · 50%market (no margin): 52%

The 23.0 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 23.8

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
19.571%29%62%
20.563%37%54%
21.557%43%49%
22.550%50%42%
23.544%56%37%
24.541%59%35%
25.538%62%32%

Sample: 5,738 matches

Games handicap

M. Geerts −1.552%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes40%

tour average 32%

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite lost
  • Most likely set scorewas 2:0
  • Total games Under 23.0in · 22 games
  • Games handicapnot covered
  • Tie-breaktie-break played

Match stats

Matisse BobichonMichael Geerts
12Aces3
4Double faults4
59%First serves in49%
79%First-serve points won67%
47%Second-serve points won53%
2/4Break points converted1/6
10/11Service games held8/10
66%Service points won60%
41%Return points won34%
88Total points won74

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

M. BobichonTourM. Geerts
Service points won64%62%63%
Return points won36%38%38%
Service games held81%76%78%
Breaks of serve20%24%23%
Aces per service game0.510.42
Double faults per game0.280.29
Sets with a tie-break14%21%
Tie-breaks won4/710/18
Wins in straight sets57%68%
Matches in the sample2338

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Matisse Bobichon

Michael Geerts

Elo over the last year

Matisse BobichonMichael Geerts

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

M. BobichonM. Geerts
Hard court14–961%18–1555%
Clay0–01–420%

Head to head

They have not met yet.

Road through the tournament

Matisse Bobichon

Michael Geerts