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Challenger BrestChallenger 125Qualifying round 1hard, indoorbest of three setsqualifying

Geerts vs Raquillet 2:0: result and our tips

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Michael GeertsATP #353Elo 1582hard 1592
2:0final6:0 6:1
Leo RaquilletATP #702Elo 1386hard 1391

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
1st Set Winner: GeertsWon63%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Geerts won the first set in 9 of the last 20 matches, Raquillet lost the first set in 15 of the last 20 matches (tour average 50%)

Other tips

  • Match Winner: GeertsWon67%

    Where the number comes from: chance from the market (bookmakers 67%); the pick and the reasoning come from our data

    Raquillet lost 7 of the last 10 matches

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Michael Geerts67%
Leo Raquillet33%

Elo: M. Geerts 76% · L. Raquillet 24%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 M. Geerts45%
2:1 M. Geerts22%
2:1 L. Raquillet14%
2:0 L. Raquillet19%

First set

Michael Geerts63%
Leo Raquillet38%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes37%
no63%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 21.5 · 50%market (no margin): 47%

The 21.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 22.7

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
18.570%30%71%
19.562%38%62%
20.556%44%54%
21.550%50%49%
22.543%57%42%
23.539%61%37%
24.536%64%35%

Sample: 5,213 matches

Games handicap

M. Geerts −3.548%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes29%

tour average 32%

Bookmakers offer no tie-break bet on this match.

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite won
  • Most likely set scorehit 2:0
  • Total games Under 21.5in · 13 games
  • Games handicapcovered

Match stats

Michael GeertsLeo Raquillet
6Aces1
0Double faults3
67%First serves in59%
81%First-serve points won40%
53%Second-serve points won36%
5/8Break points converted0/4
7/7Service games held1/6
72%Service points won38%
62%Return points won28%
54Total points won26

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

M. GeertsTourL. Raquillet
Service points won63%62%56%
Return points won37%38%40%
Service games held77%76%62%
Breaks of serve23%24%29%
Aces per service game0.410.18
Double faults per game0.290.25
Sets with a tie-break22%4%
Tie-breaks won10/180/2
Wins in straight sets71%29%
Matches in the sample3623

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Michael Geerts

  • 13/10/26LPavel Lagutin#388Challenger Catania · R324:6 1:6
  • 30/09/26LEdas Butvilas#208Challenger Porto 2 · R324:6 1:6
  • 28/09/26WJoao Domingues#563Challenger Porto 2 · Q23:6 6:4 7:6
  • 27/09/26WVladyslav Orlov#518Challenger Porto 2 · Q17:6 6:2
  • 22/09/26LCarlos Sanchez Jover#329Challenger Plovdiv 4 · R324:6 5:7
  • 25/08/26LJay Friend#266Challenger Roehampton 2 · R323:6 4:6
  • 20/08/26LLucas Poullain#328Challenger Roehampton · QF7:6 3:6 5:7
  • 19/08/26WRadu Albot#561Challenger Roehampton · R164:6 6:4 6:4
  • 18/08/26WBilly BlaydesChallenger Roehampton · R326:3 7:6
  • 04/08/26LDurasovic#485Challenger Grodzisk Mazowiecki · R327:6 2:6 2:6

Leo Raquillet

  • 12/10/26LMathys Erhard#373Challenger Olbia · Q20:6 3:6
  • 11/10/26WGabi Adrian Boitan#464Challenger Olbia · Q14:6 6:4 6:4
  • 15/09/26LYanis Ghazouani Durand#529Challenger Rennes · R321:6 4:6
  • 07/09/26LYanis Ghazouani Durand#529Challenger Cassis · Q21:6 3:6
  • 06/09/26WMatteo Covato#705Challenger Cassis · Q16:2 6:2
  • 17/08/26LBenjamin Hassan#465Challenger Sion · Q23:6 6:2 5:7
  • 16/08/26WAdrien BerrutChallenger Sion · Q14:6 6:3 6:0
  • 02/08/26LOskari Paldanius#678Challenger Grodzisk Mazowiecki · Q16:3 0:6 5:7
  • 26/07/26LGeorgii Kravchenko#305Challenger Liberec · Q16:3 3:6 4:6
  • 12/07/26LJan Kumstat#189Challenger Bunschoten · Q16:7 4:6

Elo over the last year

Michael GeertsLeo Raquillet

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

M. GeertsL. Raquillet
Hard court16–1552%2–625%
Clay1–420%5–1033%

Head to head

They have not met yet.