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Challenger BrestChallenger 125Quarterfinalhard, indoorbest of three setsqualifying

Damm Jr vs Tabur 2:0: result and our tips

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Martin Damm JrATP #102Elo 1876hard 1841
2:0final7:6(5) 7:6(4)
Clement TaburATP #156Elo 1782hard 1792

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
Total Games: Over 20.5Won67%

Where the number comes from: market alone 59% → with the players' profiles 67%

Over 20.5 games in recent matches: Damm Jr 15 of 20, Tabur 15 of 20 (tour average 54%)

Long shot
Total Games: Over 27.5Lost31%

Where the number comes from: market alone 27% → with the players' profiles 31%

Over 27.5 games in recent matches: Damm Jr 6 of 20, Tabur 9 of 20 (tour average 24%)

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Martin Damm Jr65%
Clement Tabur35%

Elo: M. Damm Jr 57% · C. Tabur 43%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 M. Damm Jr43%
2:1 M. Damm Jr22%
2:1 C. Tabur15%
2:0 C. Tabur20%

First set

Martin Damm Jr61%
Clement Tabur39%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes37%
no63%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 23.5 · 53%market (no margin): 52%

The 23.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 24.3

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
20.567%33%54%
21.559%41%49%
22.554%46%42%
23.547%53%37%
24.541%59%35%
25.539%61%32%
26.535%65%27%

Sample: 5,592 matches

Games handicap

M. Damm Jr −3.546%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes48%

tour average 32%

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite won
  • Most likely set scorehit 2:0
  • Total games Under 23.5out · 26 games
  • Games handicapnot covered
  • Tie-breaktie-break played

Match stats

Martin Damm JrClement Tabur
21Aces7
3Double faults1
60%First serves in67%
89%First-serve points won81%
63%Second-serve points won58%
0/3Break points converted0/0
12/12Service games held12/12
79%Service points won73%
27%Return points won21%
80Total points won74

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

M. Damm JrTourC. Tabur
Service points won68%62%65%
Return points won33%38%38%
Service games held86%76%82%
Breaks of serve16%24%24%
Aces per service game0.990.38
Double faults per game0.310.19
Sets with a tie-break28%21%
Tie-breaks won24/4417/38
Wins in straight sets78%52%
Matches in the sample6771

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Martin Damm Jr

Clement Tabur

Elo over the last year

Martin Damm JrClement Tabur

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

M. Damm JrC. Tabur
Hard court23–1955%22–1559%
Clay7–654%17–1259%
Grass7–558%3–260%

Head to head

M. Damm Jr 1–0 C. Tabur

  • 02/02/26Winner: M. Damm Jr7:6 6:7 7:6

Road through the tournament

Martin Damm Jr

Clement Tabur