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Challenger BrestChallenger 125Semifinalhard, indoorbest of three sets

Damm Jr vs Prizmic 2:1: result and our tips

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Martin Damm JrATP #102Elo 1888hard 1855
2:1final6:4 6:7(7) 7:5
Dino PrizmicATP #92Elo 1975hard 1906

Our tips

No tip for this match: when the tips were published, no bet on offer had clear support in our data. We never force a tip.

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Martin Damm Jr46%
Dino Prizmic54%

Elo: M. Damm Jr 43% · D. Prizmic 57%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 M. Damm Jr28%
2:1 M. Damm Jr18%
2:1 D. Prizmic20%
2:0 D. Prizmic34%

First set

Martin Damm Jr47%
Dino Prizmic53%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes38%
no62%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineOver 23.0 · 48%market (no margin): 51%

The 23.0 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 24.5

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
20.569%31%54%
21.561%40%49%
22.555%45%42%
23.548%52%37%
24.542%58%35%
25.540%60%32%
26.537%63%27%

Sample: 5,515 matches

Games handicap

D. Prizmic −1.550%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes50%

tour average 32%

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite lost
  • Most likely set scorewas 2:1
  • Total games Over 23.0in · 35 games
  • Games handicapnot covered
  • Tie-breaktie-break played

Match stats

Martin Damm JrDino Prizmic
19Aces13
1Double faults0
63%First serves in73%
94%First-serve points won66%
59%Second-serve points won54%
3/11Break points converted1/1
16/17Service games held14/17
81%Service points won63%
38%Return points won19%
118Total points won96

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

M. Damm JrTourD. Prizmic
Service points won68%62%65%
Return points won33%38%38%
Service games held86%76%82%
Breaks of serve16%24%25%
Aces per service game1.000.36
Double faults per game0.310.26
Sets with a tie-break29%13%
Tie-breaks won26/469/19
Wins in straight sets79%74%
Matches in the sample6855

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Martin Damm Jr

Dino Prizmic

Elo over the last year

Martin Damm JrDino Prizmic

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

M. Damm JrD. Prizmic
Hard court24–1956%13–1057%
Clay7–654%21–872%
Grass7–558%1–233%

Head to head

They have not met yet.

Road through the tournament

Martin Damm Jr

Dino Prizmic