Djokovic vs Hijikata: prediction and tips
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Our tips
Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.
Where the number comes from: market alone 72% → with the players' profiles 69%
Hijikata: 13 matches in a row under 26.5 games
Other tips
- 1st Set Winner: Djokovic72%
Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data
Djokovic won the first set in 12 of the last 20 matches, Hijikata lost the first set in 12 of the last 20 matches (tour average 50%)
Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data
Djokovic: 3 matches in a row going the distance
Match chances
Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength.
Winner
Elo: N. Djokovic 89% · R. Hijikata 11%
from the market (no margin)
Set score
First set
Total games
The 22.0 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).
Expected total: 23.7
| Line | Over | Under | Tour over |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19.5 | 70% | 30% | 68% |
| 20.5 | 62% | 38% | 59% |
| 21.5 | 54% | 46% | 54% |
| 22.5 | 47% | 53% | 46% |
| 23.5 | 40% | 60% | 39% |
| 24.5 | 36% | 64% | 38% |
| 25.5 | 34% | 66% | 35% |
Sample: 3,266 matches
Games handicap
Tie-break in the match
tour average 38%
Serve profile (12 months)
Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.
| N. Djokovic | Tour | R. Hijikata | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Service points won | 68% | 62% | 63% |
| Return points won | 36% | 38% | 38% |
| Service games held | 86% | 76% | 78% |
| Breaks of serve | 19% | 24% | 23% |
| Aces per service game | 0.53 | 0.40 | |
| Double faults per game | 0.18 | 0.21 | |
| Sets with a tie-break | 16% | 21% | |
| Tie-breaks won | 11/17 | 24/40 | |
| Wins in straight sets | 33% | 60% | |
| Matches in the sample | 33 | 78 |
Form
The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.
Novak Djokovic
- 03/11/26WValentin Vacherot#27ATP Paris · R646:7 7:5 6:1
- 29/10/26LJan-Lennard Struff#39ATP Basel · R167:6 5:7 6:7
- 28/10/26WUgo Humbert#38ATP Basel · R324:6 6:3 6:4
- 09/10/26LHubert Hurkacz#29ATP Shanghai · R644:6 3:6
- 06/10/26WAlex de Minaur#9ATP Beijing · F7:6 0:1
- 04/10/26WAlexander Zverev#1ATP Beijing · QF4:6 6:4 6:4
- 02/10/26WYunchaokete Bu#93ATP Beijing · R164:6 7:6 6:2
- 30/09/26WNuno Borges#49ATP Beijing · R326:3 7:6
- 30/08/26LMariano Navone#48ATP US Open · R1286:7 7:5 6:4 2:6 1:6
- 15/08/26LThiago Agustin Tirante#53ATP Cincinnati · R646:2 4:6 4:6
Rinky Hijikata
- 02/11/26WLuciano Darderi#21ATP Paris · R646:2 6:2
- 01/11/26WVit Kopriva#62ATP Paris · Q27:6 6:2
- 31/10/26WJaime Faria#57ATP Paris · Q16:3 6:4
- 28/10/26LTaylor Fritz#12ATP Basel · R324:6 6:7
- 25/10/26LYannick Hanfmann#58ATP Basel · Q24:6 6:1 3:6
- 24/10/26WMiomir Kecmanovic#60ATP Basel · Q17:6 6:3
- 20/10/26LTerence Atmane#73ATP Almaty · R326:7 2:6
- 07/10/26LRoman Safiullin#71ATP Shanghai · R1285:7 3:6
- 29/09/26LStefanos Tsitsipas#34ATP Tokyo · Q24:6 3:6
- 28/09/26WCamilo Ugo Carabelli#81ATP Tokyo · Q16:2 6:3
Elo over the last year
Record by surface (12 months)
Wins–losses over the last 12 months.
| N. Djokovic | R. Hijikata | |
|---|---|---|
| Hard court | 17–674% | 32–2259% |
| Clay | 2–250% | 6–746% |
| Grass | 5–183% | 7–464% |
Head to head
N. Djokovic 2–0 R. Hijikata
- 21/03/25Winner: N. Djokovic6:0 7:6
- 31/12/24Winner: N. Djokovic6:3 6:3
Road through the tournament
Novak Djokovic
- 03/11/26WValentin Vacherot#27ATP Paris · R646:7 7:5 6:1
Rinky Hijikata
- 31/10/26WJaime Faria#57ATP Paris · Q16:3 6:4
- 01/11/26WVit Kopriva#62ATP Paris · Q27:6 6:2
- 02/11/26WLuciano Darderi#21ATP Paris · R646:2 6:2