ATP Basel500Round of 32hard, indoorbest of three sets
Djokovic vs Humbert: prediction and tips
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Our tips
Tip in 36mFor matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon on match day, for earlier ones 3 hours before the order-of-play time.
Match chances
Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength.
Winner
Novak Djokovic71%
Ugo Humbert29%
Elo: N. Djokovic 86% · U. Humbert 14%
from the market (no margin)
Set score
2:0 N. Djokovic48%
2:1 N. Djokovic23%
2:1 U. Humbert13%
2:0 U. Humbert17%
First set
Novak Djokovic66%
Ugo Humbert34%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes36%
no64%
Total games
The bookmakers' lineOver 22.5 · 55%market (no margin): 51%
The 22.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).
Expected total: 24.5
| Line | Over | Under | Tour over |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20.5 | 69% | 31% | 60% |
| 21.5 | 61% | 40% | 54% |
| 22.5 | 55% | 45% | 46% |
| 23.5 | 47% | 53% | 40% |
| 24.5 | 40% | 60% | 38% |
| 25.5 | 38% | 62% | 35% |
| 26.5 | 35% | 65% | 30% |
Sample: 4,619 matches
Games handicap
N. Djokovic −3.550%
Tie-break in the match
Tie-break: yes51%
tour average 39%
Serve profile (12 months)
Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.
| N. Djokovic | Tour | U. Humbert | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Service points won | 68% | 62% | 66% |
| Return points won | 36% | 38% | 35% |
| Service games held | 86% | 76% | 83% |
| Breaks of serve | 20% | 24% | 17% |
| Aces per service game | 0.51 | 0.57 | |
| Double faults per game | 0.18 | 0.27 | |
| Sets with a tie-break | 14% | 21% | |
| Tie-breaks won | 10/14 | 15/26 | |
| Wins in straight sets | 36% | 77% | |
| Matches in the sample | 30 | 50 |
Form
The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.
Novak Djokovic
- 09/10/26LHubert Hurkacz#28ATP Shanghai · R644:6 3:6
- 06/10/26WAlex de Minaur#10ATP Beijing · F7:6 0:1
- 04/10/26WAlexander Zverev#2ATP Beijing · QF4:6 6:4 6:4
- 02/10/26WYunchaokete Bu#92ATP Beijing · R164:6 7:6 6:2
- 30/09/26WNuno Borges#53ATP Beijing · R326:3 7:6
- 30/08/26LMariano Navone#43ATP US Open · R1286:7 7:5 6:4 2:6 1:6
- 15/08/26LThiago Agustin Tirante#51ATP Cincinnati · R646:2 4:6 4:6
- 10/07/26LJannik Sinner#1ATP Wimbledon · SF4:6 4:6 4:6
- 07/07/26WFelix Auger-Aliassime#7ATP Wimbledon · QF7:6 3:6 6:3 6:7 7:6
- 05/07/26WRoman Safiullin#69ATP Wimbledon · R167:6 6:3 3:6 6:3
Ugo Humbert
- 20/10/26LCorentin Moutet#103ATP Lyon · R322:6 7:6 6:7
- 09/10/26LArthur Gea#44ATP Shanghai · R644:6 6:3 1:6
- 03/10/26LJiří Lehečka#21ATP Tokyo · R167:5 4:6 4:6
- 01/10/26WBrandon Nakashima#17ATP Tokyo · R326:3 6:2
- 16/08/26LMichael Zheng#101ATP Cincinnati · R644:6 3:6
- 05/08/26LDaniel Merida#42ATP Montreal · R643:6 3:6
- 30/07/26LBen Shelton#4ATP Washington · R167:6 3:6 4:6
- 28/07/26WAndres Martin#354ATP Washington · R326:2 7:5
- 30/06/26LZizou Bergs#39ATP Wimbledon · R1282:6 5:7 6:4 6:3 3:6
- 27/06/26LZizou Bergs#39ATP Eastbourne · F6:3 1:6 4:6
Elo over the last year
Novak DjokovicUgo Humbert
Record by surface (12 months)
Wins–losses over the last 12 months.
| N. Djokovic | U. Humbert | |
|---|---|---|
| Hard court | 15–575% | 13–1546% |
| Clay | 2–250% | 5–550% |
| Grass | 5–183% | 8–467% |
Head to head
N. Djokovic 1–0 U. Humbert
- 08/07/19Winner: N. Djokovic6:3 6:2 6:3