Djokovic vs Vacherot 2:1: result and our tips
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Our tips
Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.
Where the number comes from: market alone 56% → with the players' profiles 62%
Over 21.5 games in recent matches: Djokovic 12 of 15, Vacherot 15 of 20 (tour average 54%); Vacherot: 6 matches in a row over 21.5 games
Where the number comes from: market alone 39% → with the players' profiles 41%
Over 24.5 games in recent matches: Djokovic 10 of 15, Vacherot 11 of 20 (tour average 38%)
Match chances
Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.
Winner
Elo: N. Djokovic 74% · V. Vacherot 26%
from the market (no margin)
Set score
First set
Total games
The 23.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).
Expected total: 24.8
| Line | Over | Under | Tour over |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20.5 | 71% | 30% | 60% |
| 21.5 | 62% | 38% | 54% |
| 22.5 | 57% | 43% | 46% |
| 23.5 | 48% | 52% | 40% |
| 24.5 | 41% | 59% | 38% |
| 25.5 | 39% | 61% | 35% |
| 26.5 | 36% | 64% | 30% |
Sample: 5,265 matches
Games handicap
Tie-break in the match
tour average 39%
How the forecast did
- Favouritefavourite won
- Most likely set scorewas 2:1
- Total games Under 23.5out · 32 games
- Games handicapcovered
- Tie-breaktie-break played
Match stats
| Novak Djokovic | Valentin Vacherot | |
|---|---|---|
| 6 | Aces | 22 |
| 3 | Double faults | 3 |
| 73% | First serves in | 67% |
| 72% | First-serve points won | 73% |
| 57% | Second-serve points won | 34% |
| 4/9 | Break points converted | 1/7 |
| 15/16 | Service games held | 11/15 |
| 68% | Service points won | 60% |
| 40% | Return points won | 32% |
| 112 | Total points won | 96 |
Serve profile (12 months)
Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.
| N. Djokovic | Tour | V. Vacherot | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Service points won | 68% | 62% | 67% |
| Return points won | 36% | 38% | 34% |
| Service games held | 86% | 76% | 84% |
| Breaks of serve | 19% | 24% | 18% |
| Aces per service game | 0.54 | 0.77 | |
| Double faults per game | 0.18 | 0.26 | |
| Sets with a tie-break | 15% | 20% | |
| Tie-breaks won | 11/16 | 15/23 | |
| Wins in straight sets | 35% | 48% | |
| Matches in the sample | 32 | 43 |
Form
The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.
Novak Djokovic
- 29/10/26LJan-Lennard Struff#39ATP Basel · R167:6 5:7 6:7
- 28/10/26WUgo Humbert#38ATP Basel · R324:6 6:3 6:4
- 09/10/26LHubert Hurkacz#29ATP Shanghai · R644:6 3:6
- 06/10/26WAlex de Minaur#9ATP Beijing · F7:6 0:1
- 04/10/26WAlexander Zverev#1ATP Beijing · QF4:6 6:4 6:4
- 02/10/26WYunchaokete Bu#93ATP Beijing · R164:6 7:6 6:2
- 30/09/26WNuno Borges#49ATP Beijing · R326:3 7:6
- 30/08/26LMariano Navone#48ATP US Open · R1286:7 7:5 6:4 2:6 1:6
- 15/08/26LThiago Agustin Tirante#53ATP Cincinnati · R646:2 4:6 4:6
- 10/07/26LJannik Sinner#2ATP Wimbledon · SF4:6 4:6 4:6
Valentin Vacherot
- 01/11/26WJiří Lehečka#15ATP Basel · F2:6 6:3 6:3
- 31/10/26WTaylor Fritz#12ATP Basel · SF7:6 6:3
- 30/10/26WHolger Rune#433ATP Basel · QF6:3 3:6 6:3
- 29/10/26WRafael Jodar#10ATP Basel · R167:6 2:6 7:6
- 26/10/26WMariano Navone#48ATP Basel · R326:3 7:6
- 22/10/26LLuca Van Assche#47ATP Lyon · R166:2 4:6 4:6
- 12/10/26LTommy Paul#14ATP Shanghai · R324:6 2:6
- 10/10/26WSebastián Báez#52ATP Shanghai · R646:4 7:6
- 05/10/26LJiří Lehečka#15ATP Tokyo · SF4:6 2:6
- 04/10/26WArthur Fils#7ATP Tokyo · QF7:5 4:6 6:4
Elo over the last year
Record by surface (12 months)
Wins–losses over the last 12 months.
| N. Djokovic | V. Vacherot | |
|---|---|---|
| Hard court | 16–673% | 19–1458% |
| Clay | 2–250% | 6–460% |
| Grass | 5–183% | 0–0 |
Head to head
N. Djokovic 0–1 V. Vacherot
- 11/10/25Winner: V. Vacherot3:6 4:6