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ATP Basel500Finalhard, indoorbest of three sets

Lehečka vs Vacherot 1:2: result and our tips

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Jiří LehečkaATP #15Elo 2116hard 2084
1:2final6:2 3:6 3:6
Valentin VacherotATP #27Elo 2068hard 2038

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
Total Games: Over 21.5Won63%

Where the number comes from: market alone 57% → with the players' profiles 63%

Over 21.5 games in recent matches: Lehecka 13 of 20, Vacherot 15 of 20 (tour average 54%); Vacherot: 5 matches in a row over 21.5 games

Other tips

  • Match Winner: LeheckaLost65%

    Where the number comes from: chance from the market (bookmakers 65%); the pick and the reasoning come from our data

    Lehecka: 4 wins in a row; Lehecka won 7 of the last 10 matches

  • 1st Set Winner: LeheckaWon60%

    Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

    Lehecka won the first set in 15 of the last 20 matches, Vacherot lost the first set in 9 of the last 20 matches (tour average 50%)

Long shot
Total Games: Over 24.5Won42%

Where the number comes from: market alone 40% → with the players' profiles 42%

Over 24.5 games in recent matches: Lehecka 11 of 20, Vacherot 11 of 20 (tour average 38%)

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Jiří Lehečka65%
Valentin Vacherot35%

Elo: J. Lehečka 57% · V. Vacherot 43%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 J. Lehečka41%
2:1 J. Lehečka22%
2:1 V. Vacherot16%
2:0 V. Vacherot21%

First set

Jiří Lehečka60%
Valentin Vacherot40%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes38%
no62%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 23.5 · 51%market (no margin): 51%

The 23.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 24.9

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
20.571%29%60%
21.563%37%54%
22.558%42%46%
23.549%51%40%
24.542%58%38%
25.540%60%35%
26.537%63%30%

Sample: 5,666 matches

Games handicap

J. Lehečka −2.552%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes53%

tour average 39%

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite lost
  • Most likely set scorewas 1:2
  • Total games Under 23.5out · 26 games
  • Games handicapnot covered
  • Tie-breakno tie-break

Match stats

Jiří LehečkaValentin Vacherot
13Aces8
2Double faults5
66%First serves in69%
82%First-serve points won68%
39%Second-serve points won41%
3/10Break points converted4/7
9/13Service games held10/13
68%Service points won59%
41%Return points won32%
81Total points won73

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

J. LehečkaTourV. Vacherot
Service points won68%62%67%
Return points won36%38%34%
Service games held88%76%84%
Breaks of serve19%24%17%
Aces per service game0.680.78
Double faults per game0.120.26
Sets with a tie-break21%21%
Tie-breaks won14/3015/23
Wins in straight sets62%50%
Matches in the sample5742

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Jiří Lehečka

Valentin Vacherot

Elo over the last year

Jiří LehečkaValentin Vacherot

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

J. LehečkaV. Vacherot
Hard court25–1366%18–1456%
Clay6–460%6–460%
Grass6–367%0–0

Head to head

J. Lehečka 1–1 V. Vacherot

  • 05/10/26Winner: J. Lehečka6:4 6:2
  • 28/10/25Winner: V. Vacherot1:6 3:6

Road through the tournament

Jiří Lehečka

Valentin Vacherot

Upcoming matches

See also