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ATP Basel500Quarterfinalhard, indoorbest of three setsqualifying

Kym vs Lehečka 0:2: result and our tips

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Jerome KymATP #164Elo 1898hard 1895
0:2final4:6 2:6
Jiří LehečkaATP #15Elo 2102hard 2068

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
Total Games: Over 21.5Lost59%

Where the number comes from: market alone 54% → with the players' profiles 59%

Over 21.5 games in recent matches: Kym 16 of 20, Lehecka 14 of 20 (tour average 54%)

Other tips

  • 1st Set Winner: LeheckaWon68%

    Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

    Lehecka: 6 matches in a row winning the first set; Kym lost the first set in 8 of the last 20 matches, Lehecka won the first set in 16 of the last 20 matches (tour average 50%)

  • Match Winner: LeheckaWon73%

    Where the number comes from: chance from the market (bookmakers 73%); the pick and the reasoning come from our data

    Lehecka won 7 of the last 10 matches

Long shot
Total Games: Over 24.5Lost40%

Where the number comes from: market alone 38% → with the players' profiles 40%

Over 24.5 games in recent matches: Kym 12 of 20, Lehecka 12 of 20 (tour average 38%)

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Jerome Kym25%
Jiří Lehečka75%

Elo: J. Kym 27% · J. Lehečka 73%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 J. Kym14%
2:1 J. Kym13%
2:1 J. Lehečka22%
2:0 J. Lehečka51%

First set

Jerome Kym31%
Jiří Lehečka69%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes35%
no65%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 23.0 · 47%market (no margin): 48%

The 23.0 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 24.3

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
19.575%25%68%
20.567%33%60%
21.559%41%54%
22.553%47%46%
23.545%55%40%
24.539%61%38%
25.538%63%35%

Sample: 3,954 matches

Games handicap

J. Lehečka −3.554%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes50%

tour average 39%

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite won
  • Most likely set scorehit 0:2
  • Total games Under 23.0in · 18 games
  • Games handicapcovered
  • Tie-breakno tie-break

Match stats

Jerome KymJiří Lehečka
5Aces7
0Double faults2
73%First serves in67%
63%First-serve points won79%
38%Second-serve points won58%
0/2Break points converted3/4
6/9Service games held9/9
56%Service points won72%
28%Return points won44%
49Total points won67

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

J. KymTourJ. Lehečka
Service points won66%62%68%
Return points won37%38%35%
Service games held84%76%87%
Breaks of serve20%24%19%
Aces per service game0.750.66
Double faults per game0.260.12
Sets with a tie-break30%21%
Tie-breaks won16/3214/30
Wins in straight sets50%63%
Matches in the sample4355

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Jerome Kym

Jiří Lehečka

Elo over the last year

Jerome KymJiří Lehečka

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

J. KymJ. Lehečka
Hard court12–860%23–1364%
Clay11–761%6–460%
Grass3–260%6–367%

Head to head

They have not met yet.

Road through the tournament

Jerome Kym

Jiří Lehečka

See also