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ATP Basel500Round of 32hard, indoorbest of three sets

Wawrinka vs Lehečka 0:2: result and our tips

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Stan WawrinkaATP #151Elo 1819hard 1834
0:2final5:7 6:7(2)
Jiří LehečkaATP #21Elo 2091hard 2055

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
Total Games: Over 20.5Won60%

Where the number comes from: market alone 51% → with the players' profiles 60%

Over 20.5 games in recent matches: Wawrinka 14 of 20, Lehecka 14 of 20 (tour average 59%)

Long shot
Total Games: Over 25.5Lost31%

Where the number comes from: market alone 28% → with the players' profiles 31%

Over 25.5 games in recent matches: Wawrinka 10 of 20, Lehecka 11 of 20 (tour average 34%)

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Stan Wawrinka16%
Jiří Lehečka85%

Elo: S. Wawrinka 22% · J. Lehečka 78%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 S. Wawrinka9%
2:1 S. Wawrinka8%
2:1 J. Lehečka20%
2:0 J. Lehečka63%

First set

Stan Wawrinka23%
Jiří Lehečka77%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes28%
no72%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 22.5 · 56%market (no margin): 51%

The 22.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 23.3

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
18.579%21%76%
19.570%30%67%
20.560%40%59%
21.551%49%54%
22.545%55%45%
23.536%64%39%
24.531%69%38%

Sample: 2,263 matches

Games handicap

J. Lehečka −4.552%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes43%

tour average 38%

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite won
  • Most likely set scorehit 0:2
  • Total games Under 22.5out · 25 games
  • Games handicapnot covered
  • Tie-breaktie-break played

Match stats

Stan WawrinkaJiří Lehečka
9Aces11
3Double faults0
52%First serves in67%
84%First-serve points won81%
43%Second-serve points won86%
0/2Break points converted1/6
11/12Service games held12/12
64%Service points won83%
17%Return points won36%
64Total points won83

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

S. WawrinkaTourJ. Lehečka
Service points won65%62%67%
Return points won33%38%35%
Service games held82%76%87%
Breaks of serve14%24%18%
Aces per service game0.560.66
Double faults per game0.200.12
Sets with a tie-break30%21%
Tie-breaks won12/2413/29
Wins in straight sets46%61%
Matches in the sample2954

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Stan Wawrinka

Jiří Lehečka

Elo over the last year

Stan WawrinkaJiří Lehečka

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

S. WawrinkaJ. Lehečka
Hard court9–950%21–1460%
Clay2–820%6–460%
Grass0–10%6–367%

Head to head

They have not met yet.