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ATP Brussels250Quarterfinalhard, indoorbest of three setsqualifying

Griekspoor vs Lehečka 2:1: result and our tips

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Tallon GriekspoorATP #50Elo 1907hard 1908
2:1final4:6 6:4 6:3
Jiří LehečkaATP #21Elo 2111hard 2076

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
Total Games: Over 22.5Won56%

Where the number comes from: market alone 46% → with the players' profiles 56%

Over 22.5 games in recent matches: Griekspoor 14 of 20, Lehecka 13 of 20 (tour average 46%); Griekspoor: 5 matches in a row over 22.5 games

Other tips

  • 1st Set Winner: LeheckaWon67%

    Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

    Griekspoor lost the first set in 11 of the last 20 matches, Lehecka won the first set in 15 of the last 20 matches (tour average 50%)

  • Match Winner: LeheckaLost72%

    Where the number comes from: chance from the market (bookmakers 72%); the pick and the reasoning come from our data

    Lehecka won 7 of the last 10 matches

Long shot
Total Games: Over 26.5Won35%

Where the number comes from: market alone 31% → with the players' profiles 35%

Over 26.5 games in recent matches: Griekspoor 9 of 20, Lehecka 9 of 20 (tour average 30%)

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Tallon Griekspoor28%
Jiří Lehečka72%

Elo: T. Griekspoor 28% · J. Lehečka 72%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 T. Griekspoor16%
2:1 T. Griekspoor13%
2:1 J. Lehečka23%
2:0 J. Lehečka49%

First set

Tallon Griekspoor33%
Jiří Lehečka68%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes36%
no65%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 24.5 · 59%market (no margin): 49%

The 24.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 24.7

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
20.570%30%59%
21.562%38%54%
22.555%45%46%
23.548%52%39%
24.541%59%38%
25.538%62%34%
26.535%65%30%

Sample: 4,346 matches

Games handicap

J. Lehečka −3.551%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes53%

tour average 39%

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite lost
  • Most likely set scorewas 2:1
  • Total games Under 24.5out · 29 games
  • Games handicapnot covered
  • Tie-breakno tie-break

Match stats

Tallon GriekspoorJiří Lehečka
7Aces11
4Double faults0
63%First serves in65%
73%First-serve points won71%
46%Second-serve points won46%
3/4Break points converted2/7
13/15Service games held11/14
63%Service points won63%
38%Return points won37%
93Total points won87

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

T. GriekspoorTourJ. Lehečka
Service points won66%62%67%
Return points won33%38%35%
Service games held82%76%87%
Breaks of serve16%24%19%
Aces per service game0.690.66
Double faults per game0.270.13
Sets with a tie-break24%22%
Tie-breaks won9/2213/29
Wins in straight sets69%61%
Matches in the sample3753

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Tallon Griekspoor

Jiří Lehečka

Elo over the last year

Tallon GriekspoorJiří Lehečka

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

T. GriekspoorJ. Lehečka
Hard court12–1152%21–1362%
Clay3–730%6–460%
Grass1–325%6–367%

Head to head

T. Griekspoor 2–0 J. Lehečka

  • 12/11/21Winner: T. Griekspoor7:6 6:4
  • 11/06/21Winner: T. Griekspoor2:6 6:3 6:2

Road through the tournament

Tallon Griekspoor

Jiří Lehečka

See also