ATP Brussels250Round of 16hard, indoorbest of three sets

Navone vs Griekspoor 0:2: result and our tips

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Mariano NavoneATP #45Elo 1963hard 1900
0:2final6:7(4) 5:7
Tallon GriekspoorATP #60Elo 1892hard 1894

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
Total Games: Over 21.5Won60%

Where the number comes from: market alone 58% → with the players' profiles 60%

Griekspoor: 4 matches in a row over 21.5 games

Long shot
Total Games: Over 27.5Lost31%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Over 27.5 games in recent matches: Navone 6 of 20, Griekspoor 9 of 20 (tour average 28%)

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Mariano Navone39%
Tallon Griekspoor61%

Elo: M. Navone 51% · T. Griekspoor 49%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 M. Navone23%
2:1 M. Navone18%
2:1 T. Griekspoor22%
2:0 T. Griekspoor38%

First set

Mariano Navone43%
Tallon Griekspoor57%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes39%
no61%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 23.0 · 47%market (no margin): 49%

The 23.0 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 24.3

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
19.574%26%68%
20.566%34%60%
21.560%40%54%
22.553%47%46%
23.546%54%40%
24.542%58%38%
25.539%61%35%

Sample: 5,839 matches

Games handicap

Tallon Griekspoor −2.549%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes45%

tour average 39%

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite won
  • Most likely set scorehit 0:2
  • Total games Under 23.0out · 25 games
  • Games handicapcovered
  • Tie-breaktie-break played

Match stats

Mariano NavoneTallon Griekspoor
6Aces14
2Double faults2
65%First serves in68%
74%First-serve points won76%
52%Second-serve points won50%
2/6Break points converted3/3
9/12Service games held10/12
66%Service points won68%
32%Return points won34%
71Total points won74

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

M. NavoneTourT. Griekspoor
Service points won61%62%66%
Return points won42%38%33%
Service games held75%76%82%
Breaks of serve31%24%15%
Aces per service game0.160.69
Double faults per game0.180.27
Sets with a tie-break14%25%
Tie-breaks won12/2210/23
Wins in straight sets66%69%
Matches in the sample6537

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Mariano Navone

Tallon Griekspoor

Elo over the last year

Mariano NavoneTallon Griekspoor

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

M. NavoneT. Griekspoor
Hard court12–1152%12–1152%
Clay26–1465%3–730%
Grass0–20%1–325%

Head to head

They have not met yet.

Road through the tournament

Mariano Navone

Tallon Griekspoor