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ATP Basel500Round of 16hard, indoorbest of three sets

Shelton vs Kym: prediction and tips

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Ben SheltonATP #4Elo 2172hard 2155
-:-
Jerome KymATP #222Elo 1869hard 1860

Our tips

Tip in 20h 27m

For matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon on match day, for earlier ones 3 hours before the order-of-play time.

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength.

Winner

Ben Shelton79%
Jerome Kym22%

Elo: B. Shelton 85% · J. Kym 16%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 B. Shelton56%
2:1 B. Shelton21%
2:1 J. Kym11%
2:0 J. Kym12%

First set

Ben Shelton72%
Jerome Kym28%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes33%
no67%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 23.0 · 48%market (no margin): 50%

The 23.0 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 24.3

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
19.576%25%68%
20.567%33%59%
21.558%42%54%
22.552%48%46%
23.544%56%39%
24.538%62%38%
25.536%64%34%

Sample: 3,236 matches

Games handicap

B. Shelton −4.546%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes51%

tour average 38%

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

B. SheltonTourJ. Kym
Service points won70%62%66%
Return points won33%38%37%
Service games held89%76%84%
Breaks of serve15%24%20%
Aces per service game0.710.73
Double faults per game0.210.26
Sets with a tie-break30%29%
Tie-breaks won31/5215/30
Wins in straight sets49%52%
Matches in the sample6242

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Ben Shelton

Jerome Kym

Elo over the last year

Ben SheltonJerome Kym

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

B. SheltonJ. Kym
Hard court29–1271%11–858%
Clay8–562%11–761%
Grass6–275%3–260%

Head to head

They have not met yet.

Road through the tournament

Ben Shelton

Jerome Kym