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ATP Basel500Round of 32hard, indoorbest of three sets

Kym vs Rinderknech 2:0: result and our tips

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Jerome KymATP #222Elo 1849hard 1835
2:0final7:6(1) 6:4
Arthur RinderknechATP #61Elo 1932hard 1905

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
Total Games: Over 22.5Won60%

Where the number comes from: market alone 52% → with the players' profiles 60%

Rinderknech: 10 matches in a row over 22.5 games; Over 22.5 games in recent matches: Kym 13 of 20, Rinderknech 13 of 20 (tour average 46%)

Long shot
Total Games: Over 25.5Lost44%

Where the number comes from: market alone 39% → with the players' profiles 44%

Rinderknech: 10 matches in a row over 25.5 games; Over 25.5 games in recent matches: Kym 11 of 20, Rinderknech 12 of 20 (tour average 35%)

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Jerome Kym53%
Arthur Rinderknech47%

Elo: J. Kym 40% · A. Rinderknech 60%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 J. Kym32%
2:1 J. Kym20%
2:1 A. Rinderknech20%
2:0 A. Rinderknech28%

First set

Jerome Kym52%
Arthur Rinderknech48%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes40%
no60%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineOver 23.5 · 51%market (no margin): 49%

The 23.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 25.2

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
20.574%26%60%
21.566%34%54%
22.560%40%46%
23.551%49%40%
24.545%55%38%
25.544%56%35%
26.539%61%30%

Sample: 5,408 matches

Games handicap

J. Kym −0.551%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes53%

tour average 39%

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite won
  • Most likely set scorehit 2:0
  • Total games Over 23.5out · 23 games
  • Games handicapcovered
  • Tie-breaktie-break played

Match stats

Jerome KymArthur Rinderknech
10Aces9
4Double faults3
60%First serves in73%
86%First-serve points won76%
55%Second-serve points won47%
1/4Break points converted0/5
11/11Service games held10/11
74%Service points won68%
32%Return points won26%
75Total points won66

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

J. KymTourA. Rinderknech
Service points won66%62%67%
Return points won37%38%34%
Service games held84%76%86%
Breaks of serve20%24%15%
Aces per service game0.730.87
Double faults per game0.260.24
Sets with a tie-break28%26%
Tie-breaks won14/2911/26
Wins in straight sets50%47%
Matches in the sample4137

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Jerome Kym

  • 17/10/26LMika Brunold#191Challenger Roanne · SF6:7 6:7
  • 15/10/26WUgo Blanchet#345Challenger Roanne · R166:1 6:3
  • 14/10/26WClement Chidekh#134Challenger Roanne · R327:6 7:6
  • 02/10/26WEdas Butvilas#208Challenger Porto 2 · QF6:7 6:3 7:6
  • 01/10/26WToby Samuel#97Challenger Porto 2 · R166:2 4:6 6:2
  • 28/09/26WTiago Torres#378Challenger Porto 2 · R323:6 7:5 6:1
  • 01/09/26LRemy Bertola#236Challenger Manacor · R326:4 3:6 6:7
  • 26/08/26LColton Smith#218ATP US Open · Q26:7 6:2 4:6
  • 25/08/26WDan Added#405ATP US Open · Q16:0 6:3
  • 09/08/26LTom Gentzsch#164Challenger Hagen · F4:6 6:7

Arthur Rinderknech

Elo over the last year

Jerome KymArthur Rinderknech

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

J. KymA. Rinderknech
Hard court10–856%6–1135%
Clay11–761%7–847%
Grass3–260%2–340%

Head to head

J. Kym 1–0 A. Rinderknech

  • 19/10/24Winner: J. Kym6:1 7:6