Challenger Costa do SauipeChallenger 175Round of 16claybest of three sets
Reis Da Silva vs Moller: prediction and tips
·
Our tips
Tip in 1d 0hFor matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon on match day, for earlier ones 3 hours before the order-of-play time.
Match chances
Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength.
Winner
Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva45%
Elmer Moller55%
Elo: J. Reis Da Silva 47% · E. Moller 54%
from the market (no margin)
Set score
2:0 J. Reis Da Silva26%
2:1 J. Reis Da Silva19%
2:1 E. Moller20%
2:0 E. Moller35%
First set
Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva46%
Elmer Moller55%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes39%
no61%
Total games
The bookmakers' lineUnder 22.0 · 53%market (no margin): 52%
The 22.0 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).
Expected total: 22.3
| Line | Over | Under | Tour over |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17.5 | 76% | 24% | 76% |
| 18.5 | 67% | 33% | 68% |
| 19.5 | 59% | 41% | 59% |
| 20.5 | 53% | 47% | 52% |
| 21.5 | 47% | 53% | 46% |
| 22.5 | 42% | 58% | 40% |
| 23.5 | 39% | 61% | 36% |
Sample: 4,710 matches
Games handicap
E. Moller −1.551%
Tie-break in the match
Tie-break: yes22%
tour average 27%
Serve profile (12 months)
Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.
| J. Reis Da Silva | Tour | E. Moller | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Service points won | 62% | 62% | 57% |
| Return points won | 39% | 38% | 43% |
| Service games held | 74% | 76% | 66% |
| Breaks of serve | 26% | 24% | 33% |
| Aces per service game | 0.26 | 0.19 | |
| Double faults per game | 0.15 | 0.44 | |
| Sets with a tie-break | 10% | 10% | |
| Tie-breaks won | 7/15 | 10/14 | |
| Wins in straight sets | 67% | 69% | |
| Matches in the sample | 62 | 58 |
Form
The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.
Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva
- 03/11/26WSantiago Rodriguez Taverna#423Challenger Costa do Sauipe · R327:6 6:2
- 31/10/26LJoaquin Aguilar Cardozo#288Challenger Guayaquil · SF5:7 1:6
- 29/10/26WEmilio CamachoChallenger Guayaquil · R164:6 6:4 6:2
- 28/10/26WLorenzo Claverie#819Challenger Guayaquil · R326:4 6:2
- 11/10/26WThiago Seyboth Wild#110Challenger Antofagasta · F7:6 1:6 6:2
- 10/10/26WJuan Carlos Prado Angelo#193Challenger Antofagasta · SF6:3 6:4
- 09/10/26WMatheus Pucinelli de Almeida#197Challenger Antofagasta · QF6:4 7:6
- 07/10/26WGuido Ivan Justo#186Challenger Antofagasta · R167:5
- 06/10/26WBernardo Munk MesaChallenger Antofagasta · R326:2 6:2
- 30/09/26LMatheus Pucinelli de Almeida#197Challenger Curitiba · R163:6 6:4 3:6
Elmer Moller
- 02/11/26WZdenek Kolar#206Challenger Costa do Sauipe · R326:2 6:2
- 24/10/26LSvyatoslav Gulin#407Challenger Lisbon · SF6:4 5:7 5:7
- 23/10/26WHenrique Rocha#99Challenger Lisbon · QF6:2 6:4
- 21/10/26WMax Alcala Gurri#130Challenger Lisbon · R166:4 2:6 6:3
- 19/10/26WTristan Boyer#207Challenger Lisbon · R327:5 6:2
- 14/10/26LLukas Neumayer#155Challenger Maia · R324:6 6:4 2:6
- 11/10/26LMatej Dodig#138Challenger Braga · F6:3 3:6 2:6
- 10/10/26WVilius Gaubas#147Challenger Braga · SF6:2 4:6 6:4
- 09/10/26WTiago Pereira#318Challenger Braga · QF5:7 6:2 6:1
- 08/10/26WZsombor Piros#101Challenger Braga · R161:6 6:1 7:5
Elo over the last year
Joao Lucas Reis Da SilvaElmer Moller
Record by surface (12 months)
Wins–losses over the last 12 months.
| J. Reis Da Silva | E. Moller | |
|---|---|---|
| Hard court | 0–20% | 2–625% |
| Clay | 33–2656% | 30–2060% |
| Grass | 0–10% | 0–0 |
Head to head
J. Reis Da Silva 0–1 E. Moller
- 14/05/26Winner: E. Moller5:7 2:6
Road through the tournament
Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva
- 03/11/26WSantiago Rodriguez Taverna#423Challenger Costa do Sauipe · R327:6 6:2
Elmer Moller
- 02/11/26WZdenek Kolar#206Challenger Costa do Sauipe · R326:2 6:2