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Challenger Costa do SauipeChallenger 175Round of 32claybest of three sets

Reis Da Silva vs Rodriguez Taverna 2:0: result and our tips

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Joao Lucas Reis Da SilvaATP #177Elo 1747clay 1759
2:0final7:6(2) 6:2
Santiago Rodriguez TavernaATP #423Elo 1614clay 1619

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
Match Winner: Reis Da SilvaWon75%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market (bookmakers 75%); the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Reis Da Silva won 7 of the last 10 matches

Long shot
Total Games: Under 19.5Lost40%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Under 19.5 games in recent matches: Reis Da Silva 12 of 20, Rodriguez Taverna 9 of 20 (tour average 41%)

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva70%
Santiago Rodriguez Taverna30%

Elo: J. Reis Da Silva 69% · S. Rodriguez Taverna 31%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 J. Reis Da Silva47%
2:1 J. Reis Da Silva23%
2:1 S. Rodriguez Taverna14%
2:0 S. Rodriguez Taverna16%

First set

Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva65%
Santiago Rodriguez Taverna35%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes37%
no63%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 21.5 · 50%market (no margin): 49%

The 21.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 22.7

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
18.572%28%68%
19.563%37%59%
20.556%44%52%
21.550%50%46%
22.543%57%40%
23.539%62%36%
24.536%64%34%

Sample: 3,920 matches

Games handicap

J. Reis Da Silva −3.553%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes29%

tour average 27%

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite won
  • Most likely set scorehit 2:0
  • Total games Under 21.5in · 21 games
  • Games handicapcovered
  • Tie-breaktie-break played

Match stats

Joao Lucas Reis Da SilvaSantiago Rodriguez Taverna
4Aces2
1Double faults4
66%First serves in66%
66%First-serve points won53%
57%Second-serve points won42%
5/9Break points converted3/5
7/10Service games held5/10
63%Service points won49%
51%Return points won37%
75Total points won58

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

J. Reis Da SilvaTourS. Rodriguez Taverna
Service points won62%62%61%
Return points won39%38%38%
Service games held75%76%74%
Breaks of serve25%24%24%
Aces per service game0.250.39
Double faults per game0.150.23
Sets with a tie-break10%19%
Tie-breaks won7/1512/21
Wins in straight sets67%44%
Matches in the sample6246

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva

Santiago Rodriguez Taverna

Elo over the last year

Joao Lucas Reis Da SilvaSantiago Rodriguez Taverna

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

J. Reis Da SilvaS. Rodriguez Taverna
Hard court0–20%0–0
Clay33–2656%23–2350%
Grass0–10%0–0

Head to head

J. Reis Da Silva 0–1 S. Rodriguez Taverna

  • 20/10/25Winner: S. Rodriguez Taverna7:6 4:6 2:6

Road through the tournament

Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva

First match in this tournament.

Santiago Rodriguez Taverna

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