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Challenger Costa do SauipeChallenger 175Qualifying round 2claybest of three setsqualifying

Rodriguez Taverna vs Leite 2:0: result and our tips

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Santiago Rodriguez TavernaATP #423Elo 1608clay 1613
2:0final7:5 6:4
Wilson LeiteATP #695Elo 1398clay 1406

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
Set Betting: Rodriguez Taverna 2-0Won64%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Rodriguez Taverna won 2-0 in 2 of their 3 head-to-head matches

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Santiago Rodriguez Taverna85%
Wilson Leite15%

Elo: S. Rodriguez Taverna 77% · W. Leite 23%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 S. Rodriguez Taverna64%
2:1 S. Rodriguez Taverna21%
2:1 W. Leite7%
2:0 W. Leite8%

First set

Santiago Rodriguez Taverna78%
Wilson Leite22%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes28%
no72%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 19.5 · 53%market (no margin): 48%

The 19.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 20.9

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
16.575%25%84%
17.565%35%76%
18.555%45%68%
19.547%53%59%
20.541%59%52%
21.536%64%47%
22.531%69%40%

Sample: 1,828 matches

Games handicap

S. Rodriguez Taverna −5.550%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes19%

tour average 27%

Bookmakers offer no tie-break bet on this match.

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite won
  • Most likely set scorehit 2:0
  • Total games Under 19.5out · 22 games
  • Games handicapnot covered

Match stats

Santiago Rodriguez TavernaWilson Leite
12Aces1
4Double faults3
57%First serves in52%
88%First-serve points won71%
63%Second-serve points won46%
3/6Break points converted1/1
10/11Service games held8/11
77%Service points won59%
41%Return points won23%
73Total points won56

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

S. Rodriguez TavernaTourW. Leite
Service points won61%62%60%
Return points won38%38%41%
Service games held74%76%72%
Breaks of serve24%24%29%
Aces per service game0.380.18
Double faults per game0.230.20
Sets with a tie-break20%10%
Tie-breaks won12/214/8
Wins in straight sets41%73%
Matches in the sample4533

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Santiago Rodriguez Taverna

  • 23/10/26LGustavo Heide#112Challenger Cali · QF3:6 4:6
  • 21/10/26WGonzalo Bueno#198Challenger Cali · R166:7 6:4 6:2
  • 20/10/26WRodrigo Pacheco Mendez#255Challenger Cali · R327:6 6:7 7:6
  • 19/10/26WSergio Luis Hernandez RamirezChallenger Cali · Q26:4 6:2
  • 18/10/26WFelipe de DiosChallenger Cali · Q16:1 6:1
  • 12/10/26LMaximo Zeitune#516Challenger Santa Cruz 2 · Q21:6 4:6
  • 11/10/26WNicolas CiancagliniChallenger Santa Cruz 2 · Q16:2 6:1
  • 22/09/26LPedro Boscardin Dias#300Challenger Buenos Aires 2 · R323:6 1:6
  • 21/09/26WFermin Tenti#863Challenger Buenos Aires 2 · Q26:1 7:5
  • 20/09/26WNicolas Bruna#997Challenger Buenos Aires 2 · Q16:4 4:6 6:2

Wilson Leite

  • 01/11/26WAndre SouzaChallenger Costa do Sauipe · Q17:5 6:1
  • 25/10/26LMateo Del PinoChallenger Guayaquil · Q17:5 3:6 0:1
  • 18/10/26LSergio Luis Hernandez RamirezChallenger Cali · Q16:4 4:6 5:7
  • 12/10/26LHernan Casanova#438Challenger Santa Cruz 2 · Q22:6 4:6
  • 11/10/26WLuis BrittoChallenger Santa Cruz 2 · Q16:1 6:2
  • 04/10/26LHernan Casanova#438Challenger Antofagasta · Q13:6 6:3 4:6
  • 29/09/26LBruno Fernandez#553Challenger Curitiba · R324:6 6:1 2:6
  • 28/09/26LLorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez#517Challenger Curitiba · Q21:6 6:7
  • 27/09/26WJustin Roberts#962Challenger Curitiba · Q16:2 6:4
  • 26/06/26LNick Hardt#296Challenger Piracicaba · R163:6 1:6

Elo over the last year

Santiago Rodriguez TavernaWilson Leite

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

S. Rodriguez TavernaW. Leite
Hard court0–01–150%
Clay22–2349%14–1745%

Head to head

S. Rodriguez Taverna 3–0 W. Leite

  • 11/06/24Winner: S. Rodriguez Taverna6:2 2:6 7:5
  • 25/10/23Winner: S. Rodriguez Taverna7:6 6:4
  • 18/01/22Winner: S. Rodriguez Taverna6:1 6:3

Road through the tournament

Santiago Rodriguez Taverna

First match in this tournament.

Wilson Leite

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