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Challenger Bratislava 2Challenger 125Round of 16hard, indoorbest of three sets

Kym vs Pavlovic: prediction and tips

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Jerome KymATP #164Elo 1899hard 1894
-:-
Luka PavlovicATP #203Elo 1718hard 1714

Our tips

Tip in 11m

For matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon on match day, for earlier ones 3 hours before the order-of-play time.

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength.

Winner

Jerome Kym77%
Luka Pavlovic23%

Elo: J. Kym 74% · L. Pavlovic 26%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 J. Kym56%
2:1 J. Kym22%
2:1 L. Pavlovic10%
2:0 L. Pavlovic13%

First set

Jerome Kym71%
Luka Pavlovic29%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes32%
no68%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 22.5 · 55%market (no margin): 51%

The 22.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 23.3

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
18.577%23%71%
19.568%32%62%
20.560%40%54%
21.551%49%49%
22.545%55%42%
23.539%61%37%
24.534%66%35%

Sample: 3,523 matches

Games handicap

J. Kym −4.547%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes41%

tour average 32%

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

J. KymTourL. Pavlovic
Service points won66%62%64%
Return points won37%38%34%
Service games held84%76%81%
Breaks of serve20%24%19%
Aces per service game0.740.80
Double faults per game0.250.34
Sets with a tie-break28%20%
Tie-breaks won16/3214/27
Wins in straight sets48%59%
Matches in the sample4557

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Jerome Kym

Luka Pavlovic

Elo over the last year

Jerome KymLuka Pavlovic

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

J. KymL. Pavlovic
Hard court13–959%17–1455%
Clay11–761%11–1346%
Grass3–260%1–150%

Head to head

They have not met yet.

Road through the tournament

Jerome Kym

Luka Pavlovic