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Challenger Bratislava 2Challenger 125Round of 32hard, indoorbest of three sets

Kym vs Poullain 2:1: result and our tips

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Jerome KymATP #164Elo 1890hard 1883
2:1final3:6 6:3 6:2
Lucas PoullainATP #327Elo 1703hard 1702

Our tips

No tip for this match: when the tips were published, no bet on offer had clear support in our data. We never force a tip.

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Jerome Kym84%
Lucas Poullain16%

Elo: J. Kym 74% · L. Poullain 26%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 J. Kym63%
2:1 J. Kym20%
2:1 L. Poullain8%
2:0 L. Poullain9%

First set

Jerome Kym77%
Lucas Poullain23%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes28%
no72%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 21.0 · 51%market (no margin): 51%

The 21.0 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 22.0

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
17.577%23%79%
18.567%33%71%
19.558%42%62%
20.549%51%54%
21.543%58%49%
22.536%64%42%
23.531%69%37%

Sample: 2,419 matches

Games handicap

J. Kym −4.556%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes30%

tour average 32%

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite won
  • Most likely set scorewas 2:1
  • Total games Under 21.0out · 26 games
  • Games handicapnot covered
  • Tie-breakno tie-break

Match stats

Jerome KymLucas Poullain
8Aces1
1Double faults0
60%First serves in72%
80%First-serve points won65%
60%Second-serve points won60%
3/7Break points converted1/3
12/13Service games held10/13
72%Service points won63%
37%Return points won28%
80Total points won66

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

J. KymTourL. Poullain
Service points won66%62%63%
Return points won37%38%41%
Service games held84%76%78%
Breaks of serve20%24%31%
Aces per service game0.740.22
Double faults per game0.260.12
Sets with a tie-break29%11%
Tie-breaks won16/324/10
Wins in straight sets50%77%
Matches in the sample4440

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Jerome Kym

Lucas Poullain

Elo over the last year

Jerome KymLucas Poullain

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

J. KymL. Poullain
Hard court12–957%23–1168%
Clay11–761%3–350%
Grass3–260%0–0

Head to head

They have not met yet.

Road through the tournament

Jerome Kym

First match in this tournament.

Lucas Poullain