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Challenger Bratislava 2Challenger 125Qualifying round 1hard, indoorbest of three setsqualifying

Poullain vs Lanik 2:0: result and our tips

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Lucas PoullainATP #327Elo 1697hard 1691
2:0final6:2 6:1
Tomas LanikElo 1232hard 1312

Our tips

No tip for this match: when the tips were published, no bet on offer had clear support in our data. We never force a tip.

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Lucas Poullain90%
Tomas Lanik10%

Elo: L. Poullain 90% · T. Lanik 10%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 L. Poullain71%
2:1 L. Poullain18%
2:1 T. Lanik5%
2:0 T. Lanik6%

First set

Lucas Poullain81%
Tomas Lanik19%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes23%
no77%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 19.5 · 53%market (no margin): 49%

The 19.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 20.7

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
16.577%24%88%
17.566%34%80%
18.556%44%71%
19.547%53%63%
20.539%61%54%
21.534%66%49%
22.528%72%42%

Sample: 1,610 matches

Games handicap

L. Poullain −5.550%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes23%

tour average 32%

Bookmakers offer no tie-break bet on this match.

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite won
  • Most likely set scorehit 2:0
  • Total games Under 19.5in · 15 games
  • Games handicapcovered

Match stats

Lucas PoullainTomas Lanik
3Aces3
0Double faults2
88%First serves in57%
80%First-serve points won59%
100%Second-serve points won27%
5/11Break points converted0/0
7/7Service games held3/8
82%Service points won45%
55%Return points won18%
56Total points won29

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

L. PoullainTourT. Lanik
Service points won62%62%—
Return points won41%38%—
Service games held77%76%—
Breaks of serve31%24%—
Aces per service game0.22—
Double faults per game0.12—
Sets with a tie-break12%—
Tie-breaks won4/10—
Wins in straight sets75%—
Matches in the sample38—

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Lucas Poullain

  • 26/10/26LMatisse Bobichon#487Challenger Brest · Q23:6 6:1 6:7
  • 25/10/26WTimeo TrufelliChallenger Brest · Q16:3 6:1
  • 12/10/26LTom Paris#764Challenger Roanne · Q26:7 3:6
  • 11/10/26WGijs Brouwer#832Challenger Roanne · Q16:1 6:2
  • 02/10/26LJoel Schwaerzler#172Challenger Mouilleron-le-Captif · QF4:6 1:6
  • 30/09/26WRemy Bertola#222Challenger Mouilleron-le-Captif · R163:6 7:5 6:3
  • 29/09/26WMark Lajal#167Challenger Mouilleron-le-Captif · R327:6 5:7 6:3
  • 16/09/26LClement Chidekh#131Challenger Rennes · R163:6 4:6
  • 14/09/26WDavid Jorda Sanchis#199Challenger Rennes · R327:5 6:4
  • 07/09/26LMoez Echargui#349Challenger Cassis · R324:6 2:6

Tomas Lanik

  • 07/06/26LTaro Daniel#178Challenger Bratislava · Q14:6 5:7
  • 24/05/26LPeter Fajta#729Challenger Kosice · Q13:6 4:6
  • 26/10/25LBeibit Zhukayev#522Challenger Bratislava 2 · Q13:6 4:6
  • 09/06/25LDaniel Michalski#305Challenger Bratislava · Q10:6 1:6
  • 01/06/25LLukas Pokorny#504Challenger Prostejov · Q14:6 6:7
  • 27/10/24LThiago Monteiro#233Challenger Bratislava 2 · Q17:6 6:7 6:7
  • 02/06/24LConstantin Bittoun Kouzmine#498Challenger Prostejov · Q14:6 3:6
  • 11/06/23LMichael Vrbensky#687Challenger Bratislava · Q16:3 3:6 6:7
  • 14/08/22LAldin SetkicChallenger Grodzisk Mazowiecki · Q12:6 7:6 3:6

Elo over the last year

Lucas PoullainTomas Lanik

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

L. PoullainT. Lanik
Hard court21–1166%0–0
Clay3–350%0–20%

Head to head

They have not met yet.

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