Challenger Costa do SauipeChallenger 175Round of 16claybest of three sets
Monteiro vs Cecchinato: prediction and tips
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Our tips
Tip in 1d 0hFor matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon on match day, for earlier ones 3 hours before the order-of-play time.
Match chances
Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength.
Winner
Thiago Monteiro50%
Marco Cecchinato50%
Elo: T. Monteiro 52% · M. Cecchinato 49%
from the market (no margin)
Set score
2:0 T. Monteiro31%
2:1 T. Monteiro19%
2:1 M. Cecchinato19%
2:0 M. Cecchinato31%
First set
Thiago Monteiro50%
Marco Cecchinato50%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes39%
no61%
Total games
The bookmakers' lineUnder 23.0 · 54%market (no margin): 48%
The 23.0 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).
Expected total: 23.2
| Line | Over | Under | Tour over |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18.5 | 76% | 24% | 68% |
| 19.5 | 67% | 33% | 59% |
| 20.5 | 58% | 42% | 52% |
| 21.5 | 52% | 48% | 46% |
| 22.5 | 46% | 54% | 40% |
| 23.5 | 41% | 59% | 36% |
| 24.5 | 39% | 61% | 34% |
Sample: 4,364 matches
Games handicap
T. Monteiro −0.549%
Tie-break in the match
Tie-break: yes32%
tour average 27%
Serve profile (12 months)
Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.
| T. Monteiro | Tour | M. Cecchinato | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Service points won | 64% | 62% | 63% |
| Return points won | 38% | 38% | 39% |
| Service games held | 80% | 76% | 78% |
| Breaks of serve | 25% | 24% | 27% |
| Aces per service game | 0.35 | 0.26 | |
| Double faults per game | 0.18 | 0.21 | |
| Sets with a tie-break | 17% | 17% | |
| Tie-breaks won | 12/23 | 13/29 | |
| Wins in straight sets | 60% | 72% | |
| Matches in the sample | 57 | 75 |
Form
The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.
Thiago Monteiro
- 03/11/26WLeonardo Storck FrancaChallenger Costa do Sauipe · R327:5 6:4
- 21/10/26LHenrique Rocha#99Challenger Lisbon · R164:6 6:3 3:6
- 19/10/26WAlejandro Moro Canas#238Challenger Lisbon · R326:3 7:6
- 13/10/26LMarco Trungelliti#91Challenger Maia · R326:4 1:6 4:6
- 05/10/26LElmer Moller#150Challenger Braga · R326:7 7:5 4:6
- 22/09/26LMika Petkovic#387Challenger Genoa 2 · R326:4 4:6 1:6
- 20/09/26LNikolas Sanchez Izquierdo#151Challenger Szczecin · F6:4 3:6 6:7
- 19/09/26WMarco Trungelliti#91Challenger Szczecin · SF6:4 3:6 6:3
- 18/09/26WDiego Dedura#188Challenger Szczecin · QF6:4 6:2
- 16/09/26WVitaliy Sachko#175Challenger Szczecin · R166:7 6:4 7:6
Marco Cecchinato
- 03/11/26WFrancisco Comesana#135Challenger Costa do Sauipe · R326:1 6:7 7:6
- 21/10/26LMatej Dodig#138Challenger Lisbon · R161:6 6:4 2:6
- 19/10/26WVilius Gaubas#147Challenger Lisbon · R326:4 6:3
- 13/10/26LPedro Vives Marcos#588Challenger Catania · R324:6 4:6
- 07/10/26LOlle Wallin#416Challenger Braga · R326:7 0:6
- 18/09/26LMarco Trungelliti#91Challenger Szczecin · QF6:7 5:7
- 17/09/26WMarvin Moeller#227Challenger Szczecin · R167:6 6:7 6:2
- 15/09/26WHenri Squire#312Challenger Szczecin · R327:5 6:3
- 07/09/26LLaslo Djere#137Challenger Genoa · R327:6 6:7 4:6
- 03/09/26LAlejandro Moro Canas#238Challenger Porto · R163:6 4:6
Elo over the last year
Thiago MonteiroMarco Cecchinato
Record by surface (12 months)
Wins–losses over the last 12 months.
| T. Monteiro | M. Cecchinato | |
|---|---|---|
| Hard court | 0–0 | 1–233% |
| Clay | 35–2261% | 42–2959% |
| Grass | 0–0 | 0–10% |
Head to head
T. Monteiro 2–0 M. Cecchinato
- 23/09/25Winner: T. Monteiro7:6 7:6
- 01/03/23Winner: T. Monteiro3:6 6:3 6:2
Road through the tournament
Thiago Monteiro
- 03/11/26WLeonardo Storck FrancaChallenger Costa do Sauipe · R327:5 6:4
Marco Cecchinato
- 03/11/26WFrancisco Comesana#135Challenger Costa do Sauipe · R326:1 6:7 7:6