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Challenger Costa do SauipeChallenger 175Round of 32claybest of three sets

Cecchinato vs Comesana 2:1: result and our tips

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Marco CecchinatoATP #183Elo 1746clay 1742
2:1final6:1 6:7(4) 7:6(0)
Francisco ComesanaATP #135Elo 1791clay 1797

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
Total Games: Over 19.5Won65%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Over 19.5 games in recent matches: Cecchinato 12 of 20, Comesana 15 of 20 (tour average 59%)

Long shot
Total Games: Over 23.5Won40%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Over 23.5 games in recent matches: Cecchinato 7 of 20, Comesana 11 of 20 (tour average 36%)

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Marco Cecchinato30%
Francisco Comesana70%

Elo: M. Cecchinato 42% · F. Comesana 58%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 M. Cecchinato17%
2:1 M. Cecchinato14%
2:1 F. Comesana23%
2:0 F. Comesana47%

First set

Marco Cecchinato36%
Francisco Comesana65%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes37%
no63%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineOver 21.5 · 51%market (no margin): 50%

The 21.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 22.9

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
18.574%27%68%
19.565%35%59%
20.557%43%52%
21.551%49%46%
22.545%55%40%
23.540%61%36%
24.537%63%34%

Sample: 4,010 matches

Games handicap

F. Comesana −3.553%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes31%

tour average 27%

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite lost
  • Most likely set scorewas 2:1
  • Total games Over 21.5in · 33 games
  • Games handicapnot covered
  • Tie-breaktie-break played

Match stats

Marco CecchinatoFrancisco Comesana
0Aces3
4Double faults3
62%First serves in68%
64%First-serve points won60%
63%Second-serve points won43%
5/12Break points converted3/9
13/16Service games held10/15
64%Service points won55%
45%Return points won36%
118Total points won98

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

M. CecchinatoTourF. Comesana
Service points won63%62%63%
Return points won39%38%38%
Service games held78%76%78%
Breaks of serve26%24%23%
Aces per service game0.260.48
Double faults per game0.210.26
Sets with a tie-break16%18%
Tie-breaks won12/279/23
Wins in straight sets74%57%
Matches in the sample7448

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Marco Cecchinato

Francisco Comesana

Elo over the last year

Marco CecchinatoFrancisco Comesana

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

M. CecchinatoF. Comesana
Hard court1–233%3–925%
Clay41–2959%18–1751%
Grass0–10%0–10%

Head to head

They have not met yet.

Upcoming matches

See also