ATP ParisMasters 1000Round of 32hard, indoorbest of three sets
Tirante vs Struff: prediction and tips
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Our tips
Tip in 11mFor matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon on match day, for earlier ones 3 hours before the order-of-play time.
Match chances
Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength.
Winner
Thiago Agustin Tirante33%
Jan-Lennard Struff67%
Elo: T. Tirante 40% · J.-L. Struff 60%
from the market (no margin)
Set score
2:0 T. Tirante20%
2:1 T. Tirante14%
2:1 J.-L. Struff23%
2:0 J.-L. Struff43%
First set
Thiago Agustin Tirante38%
Jan-Lennard Struff62%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes37%
no63%
Total games
The bookmakers' lineOver 23.0 · 46%market (no margin): 49%
The 23.0 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).
Expected total: 24.5
| Line | Over | Under | Tour over |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20.5 | 68% | 32% | 60% |
| 21.5 | 61% | 39% | 54% |
| 22.5 | 55% | 45% | 46% |
| 23.5 | 46% | 54% | 40% |
| 24.5 | 40% | 60% | 38% |
| 25.5 | 39% | 61% | 35% |
| 26.5 | 35% | 65% | 30% |
Sample: 5,359 matches
Games handicap
J.-L. Struff −3.545%
Tie-break in the match
Tie-break: yes50%
tour average 39%
Serve profile (12 months)
Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.
| T. Tirante | Tour | J.-L. Struff | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Service points won | 66% | 62% | 66% |
| Return points won | 36% | 38% | 35% |
| Service games held | 82% | 76% | 83% |
| Breaks of serve | 20% | 24% | 18% |
| Aces per service game | 0.71 | 0.77 | |
| Double faults per game | 0.22 | 0.24 | |
| Sets with a tie-break | 16% | 22% | |
| Tie-breaks won | 12/23 | 22/35 | |
| Wins in straight sets | 53% | 63% | |
| Matches in the sample | 56 | 58 |
Form
The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.
Thiago Agustin Tirante
- 01/11/26LMattia Bellucci#66ATP Paris · Q24:6 4:6
- 31/10/26WZachary Svajda#75ATP Paris · Q13:6 6:1 6:4
- 24/10/26LAdrian Mannarino#59ATP Vienna · Q14:6 6:7
- 19/10/26LFacundo Diaz Acosta#72ATP Almaty · R327:6 1:6 4:6
- 10/10/26LRafael Jodar#10ATP Shanghai · R646:4 2:6 3:6
- 08/10/26WHamad Medjedovic#77ATP Shanghai · R1286:4 6:2
- 30/09/26LJan-Lennard Struff#39ATP Beijing · R321:6 4:6
- 30/08/26LAdrian Mannarino#59ATP US Open · R1286:4 6:3 3:6 3:6 3:6
- 21/08/26LArthur Fils#7ATP Cincinnati · QF3:6 2:6
- 19/08/26WJakub Menšík#16ATP Cincinnati · R165:7 6:4 6:4
Jan-Lennard Struff
- 03/11/26WArthur Gea#44ATP Paris · R647:6 6:3
- 31/10/26LJiří Lehečka#15ATP Basel · SF6:3 5:7 4:6
- 30/10/26WNuno Borges#49ATP Basel · QF6:2 6:3
- 29/10/26WNovak Djokovic#11ATP Basel · R166:7 7:5 7:6
- 28/10/26WYannick Hanfmann#58ATP Basel · R326:4 6:3
- 25/10/26LTallon Griekspoor#50ATP Brussels · F6:4 3:6 4:6
- 24/10/26WArthur Fils#7ATP Brussels · SF6:4 6:7 7:6
- 23/10/26WZizou Bergs#40ATP Brussels · QF6:3 7:6
- 21/10/26WGauthier Onclin#173ATP Brussels · R166:4 6:2
- 20/10/26WMarcos Giron#89ATP Brussels · R327:6 7:6
Elo over the last year
Thiago Agustin TiranteJan-Lennard Struff
Record by surface (12 months)
Wins–losses over the last 12 months.
| T. Tirante | J.-L. Struff | |
|---|---|---|
| Hard court | 16–1552% | 22–1658% |
| Clay | 15–768% | 4–736% |
| Grass | 1–233% | 6–367% |
Head to head
T. Tirante 0–1 J.-L. Struff
- 30/09/26Winner: J.-L. Struff1:6 4:6
Road through the tournament
Thiago Agustin Tirante
- 31/10/26WZachary Svajda#75ATP Paris · Q13:6 6:1 6:4
- 01/11/26LMattia Bellucci#66ATP Paris · Q24:6 4:6
Jan-Lennard Struff
- 03/11/26WArthur Gea#44ATP Paris · R647:6 6:3