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ATP Basel500Round of 32hard, indoorbest of three sets

Hanfmann vs Struff: prediction and tips

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Yannick HanfmannATP #59Elo 1951hard 1905
-:-
Jan-Lennard StruffATP #47Elo 1930hard 1878

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
Total Games: Over 20.573%

Where the number comes from: market alone 66% → with the players' profiles 73%

Over 20.5 games in recent matches: Hanfmann 14 of 20, Struff 14 of 20 (tour average 60%)

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength.

Winner

Yannick Hanfmann47%
Jan-Lennard Struff54%

Elo: Y. Hanfmann 54% · J.-L. Struff 46%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 Y. Hanfmann27%
2:1 Y. Hanfmann20%
2:1 J.-L. Struff20%
2:0 J.-L. Struff33%

First set

Yannick Hanfmann47%
Jan-Lennard Struff53%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes40%
no60%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 24.5 · 55%market (no margin): 50%

The 24.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 25.1

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
20.573%27%60%
21.565%35%54%
22.560%41%46%
23.551%49%40%
24.545%55%38%
25.543%57%35%
26.539%61%30%

Sample: 5,484 matches

Games handicap

J.-L. Struff −1.549%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes53%

tour average 39%

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

Y. HanfmannTourJ.-L. Struff
Service points won67%62%65%
Return points won35%38%35%
Service games held84%76%82%
Breaks of serve18%24%18%
Aces per service game0.720.75
Double faults per game0.180.24
Sets with a tie-break28%22%
Tie-breaks won23/4021/34
Wins in straight sets62%60%
Matches in the sample5956

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Yannick Hanfmann

Jan-Lennard Struff

Elo over the last year

Yannick HanfmannJan-Lennard Struff

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

Y. HanfmannJ.-L. Struff
Hard court16–1257%20–1656%
Clay14–961%4–736%
Grass4–450%6–367%

Head to head

Y. Hanfmann 1–0 J.-L. Struff

  • 13/08/25Winner: Y. Hanfmann3:6 7:5 6:1

Road through the tournament

Yannick Hanfmann

Jan-Lennard Struff

First match in this tournament.