Skip to content
ATP Brussels250Finalhard, indoorbest of three sets

Struff vs Griekspoor 1:2: result and our tips

·

Jan-Lennard StruffATP #47Elo 1940hard 1887
1:2final6:4 3:6 4:6
Tallon GriekspoorATP #50Elo 1944hard 1947

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
Total Games: Over 22.5Won60%

Where the number comes from: market alone 52% → with the players' profiles 60%

Griekspoor: 7 matches in a row over 22.5 games; Over 22.5 games in recent matches: Struff 10 of 20, Griekspoor 15 of 20 (tour average 46%)

Long shot
Total Games: Over 27.5Won34%

Where the number comes from: market alone 32% → with the players' profiles 34%

Over 27.5 games in recent matches: Struff 7 of 20, Griekspoor 10 of 20 (tour average 28%)

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Jan-Lennard Struff45%
Tallon Griekspoor55%

Elo: J.-L. Struff 42% · T. Griekspoor 58%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 J.-L. Struff26%
2:1 J.-L. Struff20%
2:1 T. Griekspoor21%
2:0 T. Griekspoor34%

First set

Jan-Lennard Struff46%
Tallon Griekspoor54%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes40%
no60%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 25.0 · 55%market (no margin): 50%

The 25.0 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 25.1

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
20.573%27%60%
21.565%35%54%
22.560%40%46%
23.551%49%40%
24.545%55%38%
25.544%56%35%
26.539%61%30%

Sample: 5,616 matches

Games handicap

T. Griekspoor −1.550%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes53%

tour average 39%

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite won
  • Most likely set scorewas 1:2
  • Total games Under 25.0out · 29 games
  • Games handicapcovered
  • Tie-breakno tie-break

Match stats

Jan-Lennard StruffTallon Griekspoor
17Aces19
2Double faults3
57%First serves in64%
82%First-serve points won84%
41%Second-serve points won48%
1/7Break points converted2/5
12/14Service games held14/15
64%Service points won71%
29%Return points won36%
80Total points won93

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

J.-L. StruffTourT. Griekspoor
Service points won65%62%66%
Return points won35%38%33%
Service games held82%76%82%
Breaks of serve18%24%16%
Aces per service game0.740.68
Double faults per game0.240.27
Sets with a tie-break23%23%
Tie-breaks won21/3510/23
Wins in straight sets60%61%
Matches in the sample5639

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Jan-Lennard Struff

Tallon Griekspoor

Elo over the last year

Jan-Lennard StruffTallon Griekspoor

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

J.-L. StruffT. Griekspoor
Hard court20–1656%14–1156%
Clay4–736%3–730%
Grass6–367%1–325%

Head to head

J.-L. Struff 0–2 T. Griekspoor

  • 18/02/25Winner: T. Griekspoor6:7 6:7
  • 31/08/21Winner: T. Griekspoor6:2 6:7 6:4 4:6 5:7

Road through the tournament

Jan-Lennard Struff

Tallon Griekspoor

See also