ATP Brussels250Round of 16hard, indoorbest of three sets

Onclin vs Struff 0:2: result and our tips

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Gauthier OnclinATP #178Elo 1684hard 1674
0:2final4:6 2:6
Jan-Lennard StruffATP #58Elo 1908hard 1849

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
Total Games: Over 20.5Lost61%

Where the number comes from: market alone 58% → with the players' profiles 61%

Onclin: 4 matches in a row over 20.5 games

Other tips

  • Match Winner: StruffWon76%

    Where the number comes from: chance from the market (bookmakers 76%); the pick and the reasoning come from our data

    Onclin lost 7 of the last 10 matches

Long shot
Total Sets: Over 2.5Lost34%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

A third set in recent matches: Onclin 10 of 20, Struff 8 of 20 (tour average 35%)

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Gauthier Onclin24%
Jan-Lennard Struff76%

Elo: G. Onclin 27% · J.-L. Struff 73%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 G. Onclin13%
2:1 G. Onclin13%
2:1 J.-L. Struff22%
2:0 J.-L. Struff53%

First set

Gauthier Onclin30%
Jan-Lennard Struff70%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes34%
no66%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineOver 22.0 · 47%market (no margin): 51%

The 22.0 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 23.6

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
19.569%31%68%
20.561%39%59%
21.554%46%54%
22.547%53%46%
23.540%60%39%
24.538%62%38%
25.535%65%34%

Sample: 3,661 matches

Games handicap

Jan-Lennard Struff −3.555%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes42%

tour average 38%

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite won
  • Most likely set scorehit 0:2
  • Total games Over 22.0out · 18 games
  • Games handicapcovered
  • Tie-breakno tie-break

Match stats

Gauthier OnclinJan-Lennard Struff
3Aces13
0Double faults1
59%First serves in58%
63%First-serve points won85%
52%Second-serve points won50%
0/4Break points converted3/4
6/9Service games held9/9
59%Service points won70%
30%Return points won41%
47Total points won61

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

G. OnclinTourJ.-L. Struff
Service points won61%62%65%
Return points won39%38%35%
Service games held76%76%81%
Breaks of serve26%24%18%
Aces per service game0.200.73
Double faults per game0.300.25
Sets with a tie-break19%22%
Tie-breaks won11/2219/32
Wins in straight sets65%59%
Matches in the sample5053

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Gauthier Onclin

Jan-Lennard Struff

Elo over the last year

Gauthier OnclinJan-Lennard Struff

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

G. OnclinJ.-L. Struff
Hard court18–1653%17–1652%
Clay4–544%4–736%
Grass4–357%6–367%

Head to head

They have not met yet.

Road through the tournament

Gauthier Onclin

Jan-Lennard Struff