ATP Brussels250Qualifying round 2hard, indoorbest of three setsqualifying

Chidekh vs Onclin 2:0: result and our tips

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Clement ChidekhATP #152Elo 1804hard 1803
2:0final6:2 7:6(3)
Gauthier OnclinATP #178Elo 1696hard 1687

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
1st Set Winner: ChidekhWon69%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Chidekh won the first set in 15 of the last 20 matches, Onclin lost the first set in 9 of the last 20 matches (tour average 50%)

Other tips

  • Match Winner: ChidekhWon75%

    Where the number comes from: chance from the market (bookmakers 75%); the pick and the reasoning come from our data

    Chidekh won 7 of the last 10 matches

Long shot
Total Games: Over 23.5Lost39%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Onclin: 3 matches in a row over 23.5 games

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Clement Chidekh75%
Gauthier Onclin25%

Elo: C. Chidekh 66% · G. Onclin 34%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 C. Chidekh51%
2:1 C. Chidekh22%
2:1 G. Onclin13%
2:0 G. Onclin14%

First set

Clement Chidekh69%
Gauthier Onclin31%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes35%
no65%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineOver 21.5 · 51%market (no margin): 49%

The 21.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 23.1

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
18.573%27%76%
19.565%35%68%
20.557%43%59%
21.551%49%54%
22.544%56%45%
23.539%62%39%
24.536%64%38%

Sample: 3,867 matches

Games handicap

Clement Chidekh −3.554%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes37%

tour average 38%

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite won
  • Most likely set scorehit 2:0
  • Total games Over 21.5out · 21 games
  • Games handicapcovered
  • Tie-breaktie-break played

Match stats

Clement ChidekhGauthier Onclin
8Aces3
0Double faults4
71%First serves in60%
84%First-serve points won64%
56%Second-serve points won47%
3/4Break points converted1/4
9/10Service games held7/10
76%Service points won57%
43%Return points won24%
79Total points won57

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

C. ChidekhTourG. Onclin
Service points won63%62%61%
Return points won42%38%39%
Service games held78%76%75%
Breaks of serve30%24%26%
Aces per service game0.280.20
Double faults per game0.250.29
Sets with a tie-break14%18%
Tie-breaks won12/2111/21
Wins in straight sets67%65%
Matches in the sample6650

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Clement Chidekh

Gauthier Onclin

Elo over the last year

Clement ChidekhGauthier Onclin

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

C. ChidekhG. Onclin
Hard court35–1669%18–1653%
Clay1–325%4–544%
Grass6–555%4–357%

Head to head

They have not met yet.

Road through the tournament

Clement Chidekh

Gauthier Onclin