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ATP Brussels250Semifinalhard, indoorbest of three sets

Cerúndolo vs Griekspoor 1:2: result and our tips

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Francisco CerúndoloATP #19Elo 2064hard 2030
1:2final6:2 3:6 6:7(4)
Tallon GriekspoorATP #50Elo 1927hard 1929

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
Total Games: Over 21.5Won61%

Where the number comes from: market alone 59% → with the players' profiles 61%

Griekspoor: 6 matches in a row over 21.5 games; Over 21.5 games in recent matches: Cerundolo 12 of 20, Griekspoor 15 of 20 (tour average 54%)

Other tips

  • Match Winner: CerundoloLost61%

    Where the number comes from: chance from the market (bookmakers 61%); the pick and the reasoning come from our data

    Cerundolo won 7 of the last 10 matches

Long shot
Total Games: Over 24.5Won42%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Griekspoor: 3 matches in a row over 24.5 games; Over 24.5 games in recent matches: Cerundolo 8 of 20, Griekspoor 11 of 20 (tour average 38%)

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Francisco Cerúndolo60%
Tallon Griekspoor40%

Elo: F. Cerúndolo 64% · T. Griekspoor 36%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 F. Cerúndolo38%
2:1 F. Cerúndolo21%
2:1 T. Griekspoor18%
2:0 T. Griekspoor23%

First set

Francisco Cerúndolo57%
Tallon Griekspoor43%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes40%
no60%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineOver 23.0 · 47%market (no margin): 50%

The 23.0 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 24.5

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
20.568%32%60%
21.561%39%54%
22.555%45%46%
23.547%53%40%
24.543%57%38%
25.540%60%35%
26.536%64%30%

Sample: 5,910 matches

Games handicap

F. Cerúndolo −2.548%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes46%

tour average 39%

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite lost
  • Most likely set scorewas 1:2
  • Total games Over 23.0in · 30 games
  • Games handicapnot covered
  • Tie-breaktie-break played

Match stats

Francisco CerúndoloTallon Griekspoor
3Aces9
4Double faults2
66%First serves in63%
74%First-serve points won73%
61%Second-serve points won54%
3/5Break points converted2/4
12/14Service games held12/15
70%Service points won66%
34%Return points won31%
89Total points won88

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

F. CerúndoloTourT. Griekspoor
Service points won63%62%66%
Return points won40%38%33%
Service games held78%76%82%
Breaks of serve29%24%16%
Aces per service game0.360.69
Double faults per game0.240.27
Sets with a tie-break12%23%
Tie-breaks won9/189/22
Wins in straight sets66%65%
Matches in the sample5838

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Francisco Cerúndolo

Tallon Griekspoor

Elo over the last year

Francisco CerúndoloTallon Griekspoor

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

F. CerúndoloT. Griekspoor
Hard court18–1162%13–1154%
Clay15–865%3–730%
Grass5–183%1–325%

Head to head

F. Cerúndolo 1–0 T. Griekspoor

  • 23/03/22Winner: F. Cerúndolo7:5 4:6 6:3

Road through the tournament

Francisco Cerúndolo

Tallon Griekspoor

See also