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ATP Basel500Qualifying round 1hard, indoorbest of three setsqualifying

Giron vs Hanfmann 1:2: result and our tips

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Marcos GironATP #88Elo 1803hard 1774
1:2final2:6 7:5 4:6
Yannick HanfmannATP #59Elo 1933hard 1881

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
Total Games: Over 20.5Won70%

Where the number comes from: market alone 64% → with the players' profiles 70%

Over 20.5 games in recent matches: Giron 19 of 20, Hanfmann 13 of 20 (tour average 60%); Giron: 7 matches in a row over 20.5 games

Other tips

  • 1st Set Winner: HanfmannWon57%

    Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

    Hanfmann won the first set in 3 of their 3 head-to-head matches

Long shot
Total Games: Over 25.5Won42%

Where the number comes from: market alone 39% → with the players' profiles 42%

Giron: 3 matches in a row over 25.5 games; Over 25.5 games in recent matches: Giron 12 of 20, Hanfmann 6 of 20 (tour average 35%)

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Marcos Giron41%
Yannick Hanfmann59%

Elo: M. Giron 35% · Y. Hanfmann 65%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 M. Giron23%
2:1 M. Giron19%
2:1 Y. Hanfmann21%
2:0 Y. Hanfmann37%

First set

Marcos Giron44%
Yannick Hanfmann56%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes40%
no60%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineOver 23.0 · 49%market (no margin): 50%

The 23.0 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 24.8

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
20.571%29%60%
21.563%37%54%
22.558%42%46%
23.549%51%40%
24.544%56%38%
25.542%58%35%
26.538%62%30%

Sample: 5,913 matches

Games handicap

Y. Hanfmann −2.548%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes50%

tour average 39%

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite won
  • Most likely set scorewas 1:2
  • Total games Over 23.0in · 30 games
  • Games handicapcovered
  • Tie-breakno tie-break

Match stats

Marcos GironYannick Hanfmann
6Aces7
1Double faults3
61%First serves in63%
71%First-serve points won75%
46%Second-serve points won50%
3/3Break points converted5/7
10/15Service games held12/15
61%Service points won66%
35%Return points won39%
82Total points won90

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

M. GironTourY. Hanfmann
Service points won64%62%67%
Return points won36%38%36%
Service games held81%76%84%
Breaks of serve20%24%18%
Aces per service game0.410.71
Double faults per game0.150.18
Sets with a tie-break23%28%
Tie-breaks won14/3423/40
Wins in straight sets56%67%
Matches in the sample5559

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Marcos Giron

Yannick Hanfmann

Elo over the last year

Marcos GironYannick Hanfmann

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

M. GironY. Hanfmann
Hard court17–1849%15–1354%
Clay3–633%14–961%
Grass5–645%4–450%

Head to head

M. Giron 1–2 Y. Hanfmann

  • 23/04/26Winner: Y. Hanfmann4:6 7:6 5:7
  • 06/11/25Winner: Y. Hanfmann6:7 4:6
  • 14/01/25Winner: M. Giron2:6 7:5 6:1 7:5

See also