Struff vs Gea 2:0: result and our tips
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Our tips
Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.
Where the number comes from: market alone 60% → with the players' profiles 63%
Gea: 5 matches in a row over 21.5 games
Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data
A third set in recent matches: Struff 9 of 20, Gea 9 of 20 (tour average 36%)
Match chances
Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.
Winner
Elo: J.-L. Struff 32% · A. Gea 68%
from the market (no margin)
Set score
First set
Total games
The 23.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).
Expected total: 24.7
| Line | Over | Under | Tour over |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20.5 | 70% | 31% | 60% |
| 21.5 | 63% | 37% | 54% |
| 22.5 | 56% | 44% | 46% |
| 23.5 | 48% | 52% | 40% |
| 24.5 | 45% | 55% | 38% |
| 25.5 | 42% | 58% | 35% |
| 26.5 | 37% | 63% | 30% |
Sample: 5,645 matches
Games handicap
Tie-break in the match
tour average 39%
How the forecast did
- Favouritefavourite lost
- Most likely set scorewas 2:0
- Total games Under 23.5in · 22 games
- Games handicapnot covered
- Tie-breaktie-break played
Match stats
| Jan-Lennard Struff | Arthur Gea | |
|---|---|---|
| 11 | Aces | 9 |
| 2 | Double faults | 4 |
| 75% | First serves in | 66% |
| 85% | First-serve points won | 82% |
| 39% | Second-serve points won | 55% |
| 1/2 | Break points converted | 0/1 |
| 11/11 | Service games held | 9/10 |
| 73% | Service points won | 72% |
| 28% | Return points won | 27% |
| 68 | Total points won | 61 |
Serve profile (12 months)
Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.
| J.-L. Struff | Tour | A. Gea | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Service points won | 66% | 62% | 64% |
| Return points won | 35% | 38% | 39% |
| Service games held | 82% | 76% | 81% |
| Breaks of serve | 18% | 24% | 27% |
| Aces per service game | 0.77 | 0.48 | |
| Double faults per game | 0.24 | 0.32 | |
| Sets with a tie-break | 22% | 20% | |
| Tie-breaks won | 21/35 | 21/34 | |
| Wins in straight sets | 61% | 55% | |
| Matches in the sample | 58 | 68 |
Form
The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.
Jan-Lennard Struff
- 31/10/26LJiří Lehečka#15ATP Basel · SF6:3 5:7 4:6
- 30/10/26WNuno Borges#49ATP Basel · QF6:2 6:3
- 29/10/26WNovak Djokovic#11ATP Basel · R166:7 7:5 7:6
- 28/10/26WYannick Hanfmann#58ATP Basel · R326:4 6:3
- 25/10/26LTallon Griekspoor#50ATP Brussels · F6:4 3:6 4:6
- 24/10/26WArthur Fils#7ATP Brussels · SF6:4 6:7 7:6
- 23/10/26WZizou Bergs#40ATP Brussels · QF6:3 7:6
- 21/10/26WGauthier Onclin#173ATP Brussels · R166:4 6:2
- 20/10/26WMarcos Giron#89ATP Brussels · R327:6 7:6
- 10/10/26LDaniil Medvedev#5ATP Shanghai · R646:4 4:6 3:6
Arthur Gea
- 15/10/26LAlejandro Davidovich Fokina#17ATP Shanghai · QF1:4
- 13/10/26WJakub Menšík#16ATP Shanghai · R167:6 6:4
- 11/10/26WBen Shelton#4ATP Shanghai · R327:6 7:6
- 09/10/26WUgo Humbert#38ATP Shanghai · R646:4 3:6 6:1
- 07/10/26WJaime Faria#57ATP Shanghai · R1286:7 6:1 6:2
- 02/10/26LHubert Hurkacz#29ATP Beijing · R166:7 7:6 2:6
- 30/09/26WZhizhen Zhang#162ATP Beijing · R326:4 6:3
- 29/09/26WTomáš Macháč#69ATP Beijing · Q26:3 6:4
- 28/09/26WRigele TE#740ATP Beijing · Q16:2 6:3
- 07/09/26LBotic Van de Zandschulp#37ATP US Open · R166:3 7:6 6:7 6:7 4:6
Elo over the last year
Record by surface (12 months)
Wins–losses over the last 12 months.
| J.-L. Struff | A. Gea | |
|---|---|---|
| Hard court | 21–1755% | 32–880% |
| Clay | 4–736% | 12–860% |
| Grass | 6–367% | 5–456% |
Head to head
They have not met yet.