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Challenger Costa do SauipeChallenger 175Round of 32claybest of three sets

Monteiro vs Storck Franca 2:0: result and our tips

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Thiago MonteiroATP #233Elo 1761clay 1759
2:0final7:5 6:4
Leonardo Storck FrancaElo 1558clay 1566

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
Total Games: Over 17.5Won60%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Monteiro: 19 matches in a row over 17.5 games

Long shot
Total Games: Over 21.5Won31%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Monteiro: 7 matches in a row over 21.5 games

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Thiago Monteiro92%
Leonardo Storck Franca8%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 T. Monteiro77%
2:1 T. Monteiro15%
2:1 L. Storck Franca5%
2:0 L. Storck Franca4%

First set

Thiago Monteiro86%
Leonardo Storck Franca14%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes20%
no80%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 19.0 · 55%market (no margin): 50%

The 19.0 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 19.6

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
14.588%12%96%
15.576%24%91%
16.565%35%84%
17.554%46%76%
18.546%54%68%
19.538%62%59%
20.531%69%52%

Sample: 1,361 matches

Games handicap

T. Monteiro −6.549%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes16%

tour average 27%

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite won
  • Most likely set scorehit 2:0
  • Total games Under 19.0out · 22 games
  • Games handicapnot covered
  • Tie-breakno tie-break

Match stats

Thiago MonteiroLeonardo Storck Franca
5Aces1
2Double faults2
60%First serves in49%
66%First-serve points won67%
68%Second-serve points won44%
4/9Break points converted2/3
9/11Service games held7/11
67%Service points won55%
45%Return points won33%
72Total points won58

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

T. MonteiroTourL. Storck Franca
Service points won64%62%61%
Return points won38%38%41%
Service games held80%76%71%
Breaks of serve25%24%29%
Aces per service game0.350.42
Double faults per game0.180.36
Sets with a tie-break17%0%
Tie-breaks won12/230/0
Wins in straight sets59%100%
Matches in the sample564

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Thiago Monteiro

Leonardo Storck Franca

Elo over the last year

Thiago MonteiroLeonardo Storck Franca

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

T. MonteiroL. Storck Franca
Clay34–2261%2–250%

Head to head

They have not met yet.

Road through the tournament

Thiago Monteiro

First match in this tournament.

Leonardo Storck Franca

Upcoming matches